Expected Goals
2.47 (league 1.31)
0.87 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5% | 16.3% | 11.1% |
best score tips
2 - 0
10.8%
2 - 1
9.4%
3 - 0
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Sable | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Union Douala | 0 | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.8% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.8% | 9.4% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.9% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Sable carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 45 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Union Douala -1.3, Sable -5.3.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Union Douala
vs
Sable
Elo gapSable +45
Home / draw / away33% / 25% / 42%
Expected home share44%
Combined Elo2908.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2908.9
Elo home share
44%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Union Douala | Sable |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1414.3 | 1494.6 |
| Form Elo | 1421 | 1492.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1490 | 1487 |
| Attack Elo | 1380.8 | 1473.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1394.2 | 1519.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -1.3 | -5.3 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Union Douala last-5 Elo change: -1.3; Sable last-5 Elo change: -5.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Union Douala | Sable |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 60% |
| Attack | 100% | 71% |
| Defense | 0% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Union Douala | Sable | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 22% | 80% | 0% | 44% |
| Draws | 50% | 20% | 33% | 0% | 25% | 11% |
| Loses | 0% | 80% | 44% | 20% | 75% | 44% |
Union DoualaDWLDDLWLL
SableLLWDWLWWL
League goals
| Metric | Union Douala | Sable | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 3 | 14 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Union Douala | Sable | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 67% | 89% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 44% | 22% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 33% | 11% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 22% | 11% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 22% | 11% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Union Douala | Sable | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Union Douala | Sable |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Union Douala | Sable |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 5-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 5-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Union Douala | Sable |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31% | 69% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 31% | 69% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 48.0% | 52.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Union Douala
vs
Sable
Expected goals
2.47
Union Douala xG
League Avg: 1.31
Total
3.34
0.87
Sable xG
League Avg: 0.92
1x2 probabilities
Home
68.5%
Draw
16.3%
Away
11.1%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 0
10.8%
Tip
2 - 1
9.4%
Tip
3 - 0
8.9%
More chances
1.5+
78%
Chance
2.5+
55%
Chance
3.5+
39%
Chance
BTTS
75%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Union Douala = 2.47 (league 1.31), Sable = 0.87 (league 0.92)
| Sable | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Union Douala | 0 | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.8% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.8% | 9.4% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.9% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.5% · Draw 16.3% · Away win 11.1%
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