EFL Trophy
— England
Tue, Feb 10 2026 • 19:45 •
County Ground
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 2.07)
1.80 (league 1.61)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.7% | 23.1% | 49.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
1 - 2
9.6%
0 - 1
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Plymouth | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Swindon Town | 0 | 4.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 5.9% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Swindon Town | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 80% |
| Attack | 63% | 68% |
| Defense | 68% | 68% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
71%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Swindon Town | Plymouth | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Wins | 67% | 100% | 80% | 100% | 67% | 80% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 33% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 33% | 20% |
Form: Swindon Town: WLWWW • Plymouth: WWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Swindon Town | Plymouth | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 2.6 |
| GA total | 5 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Swindon Town | Plymouth | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 60% | 80% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 80% | 40% | 60% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 20% | 40% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 0% | 40% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Swindon Town | Plymouth | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Swindon Town | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Swindon Town | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 0-4 | 6-2 | 3-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | — | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Swindon Town | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 48% | 52% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 45.5% | 54.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Plymouth
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Swindon Town = 1.26 (league 2.07), Plymouth = 1.80 (league 1.61)
| Plymouth | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Swindon Town | 0 | 4.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 5.9% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.7% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 49.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1