BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United

Virsliga — Latvia

Tue, Apr 7 2026 • 15:00 • Stadions Celtnieks

Match Finished

BFC Daugavpils

2 - 1

Ogre United

Expected Goals

1.26 (league 1.59) 0.19 (league 1.32)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
64.8%	29.5%	5.5%

best score tips

1 - 0

29.6%

0 - 0

23.6%

2 - 0

18.6%

Score & goals probability table

		Ogre United
		0	1	2	3	4	5
BFC Daugavpils	0	23.6%	4.5%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	29.6%	5.6%	0.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	18.6%	3.5%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	7.8%	1.5%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	2.4%	0.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	BFC Daugavpils	Ogre United
Played	4	4
Form	25%	8%
Attack	31%	13%
Defense	44%	63%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1.3	2 \| 0.5
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	9 \| 2.3	6 \| 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%

FT probability

2.5+

46%

FT probability

3.5+

33%

FT probability

BTTS

59%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-5

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	BFC Daugavpils			Ogre United
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	2	2	4	3	1	4
Wins	50%	0%	25%	0%	0%	0%
Draws	0%	0%	0%	33%	0%	25%
Loses	50%	100%	75%	67%	100%	75%

Form: BFC Daugavpils: LLLW • Ogre United: LDLL

League goals

Metric	BFC Daugavpils			Ogre United
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	2	3	5	2	0	2
GF avg	1.0	1.5	1.3	0.7	0.0	0.5
GA total	1	8	9	4	2	6
GA avg	0.5	4.0	2.3	1.3	2.0	1.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	BFC Daugavpils		Ogre United
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	75%	75%	50%	100%
1.5	50%	50%	0%	50%
2.5	0%	50%	0%	0%
3.5	0%	50%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	BFC Daugavpils			Ogre United
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	0	1	0	0	0
Failed to score	1	0	1	1	1	2

Penalties

Metric	BFC Daugavpils	Ogre United
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	BFC Daugavpils	Ogre United
Wins	0	0
Draws	0	1
Losses	3	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-0	—	—	—
Biggest losses	0-1	4-1	1-2	2-0
Goals For	2	2	1	0
Goals Against	1	4	2	2

Model comparison

Metric	BFC Daugavpils	Ogre United
Form	75%	25%
Att	71%	29%
Def	40%	60%
Poisson Distribution	100%	0%
H2h	0%	0%
Goals	0%	0%
Total	62.0%	38.0%

Advice: Double chance : BFC Daugavpils or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ Dafabet

Draw4.41 @ Pinnacle

Away6.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ SBO

Under 2.52.00 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Betfair

No1.86 @ 188Bet

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

BFC Daugavpils

Ogre United

Virsliga • Latvia • Tue, Apr 7 2026 • 15:00 • Stadions Celtnieks

Expected goals

1.26

BFC Daugavpils xG League Avg: 1.59

Total

1.44

0.19

Ogre United xG League Avg: 1.32

1x2 probabilities

Home

64.8%

Draw

29.5%

Away

5.5%

Best score tips

Tip

1 - 0

29.6%

Tip

0 - 0

23.6%

Tip

2 - 0

18.6%

More chances

1.5+

65%

Chance

2.5+

46%

Chance

3.5+

33%

Chance

BTTS

59%

Chance

🟨 Cards

2 - 5

Exp.

#BfcDaugavpils #OgreUnited #Virsliga #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): BFC Daugavpils = 1.26 (league 1.59), Ogre United = 0.19 (league 1.32)

		Ogre United
		0	1	2	3	4	5
BFC Daugavpils	0	23.6%	4.5%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	29.6%	5.6%	0.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	18.6%	3.5%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	7.8%	1.5%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	2.4%	0.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.8% · Draw 29.5% · Away win 5.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	BFC Daugavpils	Ogre United
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0