Premier League
— Uganda
Tue, Apr 21 2026 • 17:00 •
Hamz Stadium
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.34)
0.96 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 31.9% | 32.3% | 35.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
15.7%
0 - 1
15.1%
1 - 0
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
| NEC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Express | 0 | 15.7% | 15.1% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.0% | 13.4% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Express | NEC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 87% |
| Attack | 70% | 50% |
| Defense | 50% | 100% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
57%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Express | NEC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 55% | 8% | 30% | 50% | 36% | 43% |
| Draws | 18% | 50% | 35% | 50% | 36% | 43% |
| Loses | 27% | 42% | 35% | 0% | 27% | 13% |
Form: Express: WLDLDWDLWLLLWLDDDDDLWWW • NEC: DDLWDLWDDLDWDWDWDWWDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Express | NEC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 3 | 22 | 15 | 10 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 10 | 13 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Express | NEC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 43% | 61% | 83% | 48% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 22% | 17% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 13% | 9% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Express | NEC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 9 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Express | NEC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Express | NEC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-1 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-0 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Express | NEC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 0% | 100% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 50.4% | 49.6% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or NEC and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Express
vs
NEC
Expected goals
0.89
Express xG
League Avg: 1.34
Total
1.85
0.96
NEC xG
League Avg: 0.84
1x2 probabilities
Home
31.9%
Draw
32.3%
Away
35.7%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
15.7%
Tip
0 - 1
15.1%
Tip
1 - 0
14.0%
More chances
1.5+
57%
Chance
2.5+
40%
Chance
3.5+
29%
Chance
BTTS
59%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Express = 0.89 (league 1.34), NEC = 0.96 (league 0.84)
| NEC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Express | 0 | 15.7% | 15.1% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.0% | 13.4% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.9% · Draw 32.3% · Away win 35.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1