Premier League
— Uganda
Wed, Apr 22 2026 • 13:00 •
The Royals Park
Expected Goals
3.45 (league 1.34)
0.24 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 80.4% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
best score tips
3 - 0
17.1%
2 - 0
14.9%
4 - 0
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Calvary | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kitara | 0 | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.9% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 17.1% | 4.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 14.8% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 10.2% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kitara | Calvary |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 27% |
| Attack | 60% | 30% |
| Defense | 80% | 30% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Kitara | Calvary | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 12 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 80% | 42% | 59% | 9% | 0% | 5% |
| Draws | 20% | 25% | 23% | 45% | 9% | 27% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 18% | 45% | 91% | 68% |
Form: Kitara: DLWWLWWWWLWDWWWDWDWWDL • Calvary: LLDLLLLLDDLLLDLLDLLLWD
League goals
| Metric | Kitara | Calvary | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 10 | 31 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| GA total | 5 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 24 | 33 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kitara | Calvary | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 50% | 27% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 9% | 14% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 5% | 0% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 18% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kitara | Calvary | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kitara | Calvary |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kitara | Calvary |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 2-4 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kitara | Calvary |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 78% | 22% |
| Poisson Distribution | 94% | 6% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 76.5% | 23.5% |
Advice: Winner : Kitara
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Kitara
vs
Calvary
Expected goals
3.45
Kitara xG
League Avg: 1.34
Total
3.69
0.24
Calvary xG
League Avg: 0.84
1x2 probabilities
Home
80.4%
Draw
5.0%
Away
1.0%
Best score tips
Tip
3 - 0
17.1%
Tip
2 - 0
14.9%
Tip
4 - 0
14.8%
More chances
1.5+
65%
Chance
2.5+
46%
Chance
3.5+
33%
Chance
BTTS
58%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Kitara = 3.45 (league 1.34), Calvary = 0.24 (league 0.84)
| Calvary | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kitara | 0 | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.9% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 17.1% | 4.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 14.8% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 10.2% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.4% · Draw 5.0% · Away win 1.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1