Sat, May 2 2026 • 06:00 • Seymour Shaw Park
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.54) 1.22 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.6% 29.3% 43.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.9%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Marconi Stallions
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sutherland Sharks 0 12.2% 14.9% 9.1% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3%
1 10.7% 13.1% 8.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
2 4.7% 5.8% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away strong edge

Marconi Stallions carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 164 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Sutherland Sharks +38.6, Marconi Stallions +19.7.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Sutherland Sharks Elo 1446.1 · +38.6
vs
Marconi Stallions Elo 1644.7 · +19.7
Elo gapMarconi Stallions +164
Home / draw / away23% / 18% / 59%
Expected home share28%
Combined Elo3090.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3090.8
Elo home share 28%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric Sutherland Sharks Marconi Stallions
Overall Elo1446.11644.7
Form Elo1467.41661.9
Home / Away Elo1460.51557.4
Attack Elo1440.51617.4
Defense Elo1458.91629.8
Last 5 Elo change+38.6+19.7

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Sutherland Sharks last-5 Elo change: +38.6; Marconi Stallions last-5 Elo change: +19.7.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSutherland SharksMarconi Stallions
Played55
Form67%80%
Attack100%100%
Defense56%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.813 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sutherland Sharks Marconi Stallions
HATHAT
Played66123912
Wins50%33%42%100%67%75%
Draws0%17%8%0%11%8%
Loses50%50%50%0%22%17%
Sutherland SharksLLLWLWLWWWLD
Marconi StallionsWWWLDWWWLWWW

League goals

Metric Sutherland Sharks Marconi Stallions
HATHAT
GF total10717121325
GF avg1.71.21.44.01.42.1
GA total78153710
GA avg1.21.31.31.00.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSutherland SharksMarconi Stallions
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%83%75%
1.542%42%58%8%
2.525%8%25%0%
3.50%0%25%0%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSutherland SharksMarconi Stallions
HATHAT
Clean sheets213033
Failed to score123022

Penalties

MetricSutherland SharksMarconi Stallions
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricSutherland SharksMarconi Stallions
Wins33
Draws01
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-36-11-4
Biggest losses2-32-1—1-0
Goals For3364
Goals Against3212

Model comparison

MetricSutherland SharksMarconi Stallions
Form45%55%
Att41%59%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h15%85%
Goals29%71%
Total36.5%63.5%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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