Sat, May 2 2026 • 06:00 •
Seymour Shaw Park
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.54)
1.22 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.6% | 29.3% | 43.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.9%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Marconi Stallions | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sutherland Sharks | 0 | 12.2% | 14.9% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.7% | 13.1% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Marconi Stallions carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 164 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Sutherland Sharks +38.6, Marconi Stallions +19.7.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Sutherland Sharks
vs
Marconi Stallions
Elo gapMarconi Stallions +164
Home / draw / away23% / 18% / 59%
Expected home share28%
Combined Elo3090.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3090.8
Elo home share
28%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Sutherland Sharks | Marconi Stallions |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1446.1 | 1644.7 |
| Form Elo | 1467.4 | 1661.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1460.5 | 1557.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1440.5 | 1617.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1458.9 | 1629.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +38.6 | +19.7 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Sutherland Sharks last-5 Elo change: +38.6; Marconi Stallions last-5 Elo change: +19.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sutherland Sharks | Marconi Stallions |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 80% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 56% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sutherland Sharks | Marconi Stallions | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 12 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 42% | 100% | 67% | 75% |
| Draws | 0% | 17% | 8% | 0% | 11% | 8% |
| Loses | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 22% | 17% |
Sutherland SharksLLLWLWLWWWLD
Marconi StallionsWWWLDWWWLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Sutherland Sharks | Marconi Stallions | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 7 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 7 | 8 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sutherland Sharks | Marconi Stallions | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 75% | 83% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 42% | 58% | 8% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 8% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sutherland Sharks | Marconi Stallions | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sutherland Sharks | Marconi Stallions |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sutherland Sharks | Marconi Stallions |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 2-3 | 6-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 2-1 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sutherland Sharks | Marconi Stallions |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 41% | 59% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 39% | 61% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 36.5% | 63.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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