Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 19:00 •
Estadio Banco Guayaquil
Expected Goals
3.51 (league 1.31)
1.31 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.0% | 11.7% | 9.8% |
best score tips
3 - 1
7.6%
4 - 1
6.7%
2 - 1
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Orense SC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Independiente del Valle | 0 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Independiente del Valle | Orense SC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Attack | 82% | 73% |
| Defense | 45% | 18% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
84%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Independiente del Valle | Orense SC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 67% | 67% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 17% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 17% | 33% | 67% | 50% |
Form: Independiente del Valle: WWWDLW • Orense SC: LDDLWL
League goals
| Metric | Independiente del Valle | Orense SC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Independiente del Valle | Orense SC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 67% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 83% | 33% | 33% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 0% | 17% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Independiente del Valle | Orense SC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Independiente del Valle | Orense SC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Independiente del Valle | Orense SC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 3-2 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Independiente del Valle | Orense SC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 67.5% | 32.5% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Independiente del Valle and +1.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.31 @ 10Bet
Draw5.22 @ 1xBet
Away10.60 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.83 @ SBO
Under 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.17 @ Superbet
No1.70 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Independiente del Valle
vs
Orense SC
Expected goals
3.51
Independiente del Valle xG
League Avg: 1.31
Total
4.82
1.31
Orense SC xG
League Avg: 0.99
1x2 probabilities
Home
64.0%
Draw
11.7%
Away
9.8%
Best score tips
Tip
3 - 1
7.6%
Tip
4 - 1
6.7%
Tip
2 - 1
6.5%
More chances
1.5+
91%
Chance
2.5+
64%
Chance
3.5+
45%
Chance
BTTS
84%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 5
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Independiente del Valle = 3.51 (league 1.31), Orense SC = 1.31 (league 0.99)
| Orense SC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Independiente del Valle | 0 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.0% · Draw 11.7% · Away win 9.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1