Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 05:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 2.05)
2.16 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.8% | 20.1% | 58.7% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.8%
1 - 1
9.1%
0 - 2
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Manningham United Blues | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Port Melbourne | 0 | 3.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | |
| 2 | 2.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Port Melbourne +2.1, Manningham United Blues +4.7.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Port Melbourne
vs
Manningham United Blues
Elo gapManningham United Blues +11
Home / draw / away34% / 29% / 37%
Expected home share48%
Combined Elo2817.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2817.1
Elo home share
48%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Port Melbourne | Manningham United Blues |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1385.6 | 1431.5 |
| Form Elo | 1386.5 | 1432.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1448.8 | 1489.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1386.2 | 1481 |
| Defense Elo | 1327.6 | 1298.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +2.1 | +4.7 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Port Melbourne last-5 Elo change: +2.1; Manningham United Blues last-5 Elo change: +4.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Port Melbourne | Manningham United Blues |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 47% |
| Attack | 10% | 24% |
| Defense | 81% | 76% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
93%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Port Melbourne | Manningham United Blues | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| Wins | 20% | 0% | 11% | 67% | 33% | 56% |
| Draws | 20% | 25% | 22% | 0% | 33% | 11% |
| Loses | 60% | 75% | 67% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Port MelbourneLLLLDLLWD
Manningham United BluesWWLWWWLLD
League goals
| Metric | Port Melbourne | Manningham United Blues | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 6 | 18 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 8 | 9 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Port Melbourne | Manningham United Blues | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 44% | 78% | 78% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 11% | 56% | 56% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 33% | 56% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 11% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Port Melbourne | Manningham United Blues | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Port Melbourne | Manningham United Blues |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Port Melbourne | Manningham United Blues |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-0 | 0-2 | 6-3 |
| Goals For | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Port Melbourne | Manningham United Blues |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 37% | 63% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 52.5% | 47.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Port Melbourne
vs
Manningham United Blues
Expected goals
1.12
Port Melbourne xG
League Avg: 2.05
Total
3.29
2.16
Manningham United Blues xG
League Avg: 1.48
1x2 probabilities
Home
18.8%
Draw
20.1%
Away
58.7%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 2
9.8%
Tip
1 - 1
9.1%
Tip
0 - 2
8.7%
More chances
1.5+
93%
Chance
2.5+
65%
Chance
3.5+
46%
Chance
BTTS
69%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Port Melbourne = 1.12 (league 2.05), Manningham United Blues = 2.16 (league 1.48)
| Manningham United Blues | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Port Melbourne | 0 | 3.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | |
| 2 | 2.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.8% · Draw 20.1% · Away win 58.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1