Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 09:30 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.70)
0.72 (league 1.67)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 59.0% | 24.3% | 16.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.5%
2 - 0
12.7%
1 - 1
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Magic United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Olympic | 0 | 9.4% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.5% | 11.1% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.7% | 9.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.0% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Olympic +26.5, Magic United -43.8.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Olympic
vs
Magic United
Elo gapMagic United +11
Home / draw / away34% / 29% / 37%
Expected home share48%
Combined Elo3061.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3061.6
Elo home share
48%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Olympic | Magic United |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1507.7 | 1553.9 |
| Form Elo | 1521 | 1512.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1492.3 | 1527.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1530.8 | 1700.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1523.1 | 1416.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +26.5 | -43.8 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Olympic last-5 Elo change: +26.5; Magic United last-5 Elo change: -43.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Olympic | Magic United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 27% |
| Attack | 72% | 17% |
| Defense | 61% | 28% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
93%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Olympic | Magic United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Wins | 60% | 33% | 50% | 20% | 33% | 25% |
| Draws | 0% | 67% | 25% | 0% | 33% | 13% |
| Loses | 40% | 0% | 25% | 80% | 33% | 63% |
OlympicWLDWDWLW
Magic UnitedWLLLWLDL
League goals
| Metric | Olympic | Magic United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 10 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 6 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 24 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 3.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Olympic | Magic United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 75% | 38% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 38% | 25% | 75% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 25% | 13% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 13% | 0% | 38% |
| 4.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Olympic | Magic United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Olympic | Magic United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Olympic | Magic United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-5 | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | — | 0-7 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Olympic | Magic United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 81% | 19% |
| Def | 65% | 35% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 73.0% | 27.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Olympic
vs
Magic United
Expected goals
1.65
Olympic xG
League Avg: 1.70
Total
2.36
0.72
Magic United xG
League Avg: 1.67
1x2 probabilities
Home
59.0%
Draw
24.3%
Away
16.1%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
15.5%
Tip
2 - 0
12.7%
Tip
1 - 1
11.1%
More chances
1.5+
93%
Chance
2.5+
65%
Chance
3.5+
46%
Chance
BTTS
72%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Olympic = 1.65 (league 1.70), Magic United = 0.72 (league 1.67)
| Magic United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Olympic | 0 | 9.4% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.5% | 11.1% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.7% | 9.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.0% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.0% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 16.1%
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