Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 17:00 •
Stadion Traktor
Expected Goals
0.37 (league 1.34)
0.62 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.6% | 46.1% | 35.3% |
best score tips
0 - 0
37.0%
0 - 1
23.0%
1 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Bate Borisov | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FC Minsk | 0 | 37.0% | 23.0% | 7.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.7% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: FC Minsk -4.4, Bate Borisov -3.4.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
FC Minsk
vs
Bate Borisov
Elo gapFC Minsk +17
Home / draw / away37% / 28% / 35%
Expected home share52%
Combined Elo3061.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3061.9
Elo home share
52%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | FC Minsk | Bate Borisov |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1521.8 | 1540.1 |
| Form Elo | 1512.5 | 1530.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1487.3 | 1508.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1521.1 | 1526.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1464.6 | 1557.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -4.4 | -3.4 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. FC Minsk last-5 Elo change: -4.4; Bate Borisov last-5 Elo change: -3.4.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | FC Minsk | Bate Borisov |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 33% | 33% |
| Attack | 19% | 25% |
| Defense | 75% | 81% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
41%
FT probability
2.5+
29%
FT probability
3.5+
21%
FT probability
BTTS
47%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | FC Minsk | Bate Borisov | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 33% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Loses | 33% | 100% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
FC MinskDWLL
Bate BorisovDWLL
League goals
| Metric | FC Minsk | Bate Borisov | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | FC Minsk | Bate Borisov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 75% | 50% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | FC Minsk | Bate Borisov | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | FC Minsk | Bate Borisov |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | FC Minsk | Bate Borisov |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 3-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | FC Minsk | Bate Borisov |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 77% | 23% |
| Total | 61.2% | 38.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
FC Minsk
vs
Bate Borisov
Expected goals
0.37
FC Minsk xG
League Avg: 1.34
Total
1.00
0.62
Bate Borisov xG
League Avg: 1.13
1x2 probabilities
Home
18.6%
Draw
46.1%
Away
35.3%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
37.0%
Tip
0 - 1
23.0%
Tip
1 - 0
13.8%
More chances
1.5+
41%
Chance
2.5+
29%
Chance
3.5+
21%
Chance
BTTS
47%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): FC Minsk = 0.37 (league 1.35), Bate Borisov = 0.62 (league 1.12)
| Bate Borisov | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FC Minsk | 0 | 37.0% | 23.0% | 7.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.7% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.5% · Draw 46.1% · Away win 35.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1