Metta / LU vs Valmiera / BSS

1. Liga — Latvia

Sat, May 2 2026 • 15:00 • Venue TBA

Not Started

Metta / LU

—

Valmiera / BSS

Expected Goals

3.45 (league 1.88) 0.49 (league 1.50)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
77.0%	6.9%	2.5%

best score tips

3 - 0

13.2%

2 - 0

11.5%

4 - 0

11.4%

Score & goals probability table

		Valmiera / BSS
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Metta / LU	0	1.9%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	6.7%	3.3%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	11.5%	5.7%	1.4%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	13.2%	6.6%	1.6%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	11.4%	5.7%	1.4%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	7.9%	3.9%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Metta / LU +60.9, Valmiera / BSS +59.4.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

Metta / LU Elo 1520.5 · +60.9

Valmiera / BSS Elo 1550.3 · +59.4

Elo gapMetta / LU +5

Home / draw / away36% / 29% / 35%

Expected home share51%

Combined Elo3070.8

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 3070.8

Elo home share 51%

Match tone Upset Watch

Metric	Metta / LU	Valmiera / BSS
Overall Elo	1520.5	1550.3
Form Elo	1574.8	1600.8
Home / Away Elo	1496	1495.1
Attack Elo	1692.2	1711
Defense Elo	1472.3	1460.8
Last 5 Elo change	+60.9	+59.4

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Metta / LU last-5 Elo change: +60.9; Valmiera / BSS last-5 Elo change: +59.4.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Metta / LU	Valmiera / BSS
Played	5	5
Form	100%	100%
Attack	100%	90%
Defense	95%	75%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	21 \| 4.2	18 \| 3.6
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	1 \| 0.2	5 \| 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

7.80

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

8.70

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%

FT probability

2.5+

85%

FT probability

3.5+

68%

FT probability

BTTS

79%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Metta / LU			Valmiera / BSS
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	3	2	5	2	3	5
Wins	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Draws	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Loses	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

Metta / LUWWWWW

Valmiera / BSSWWWWW

League goals

Metric	Metta / LU			Valmiera / BSS
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	15	6	21	7	11	18
GF avg	5.0	3.0	4.2	3.5	3.7	3.6
GA total	0	1	1	1	4	5
GA avg	0.0	0.5	0.2	0.5	1.3	1.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Metta / LU		Valmiera / BSS
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	100%	20%	100%	80%
1.5	100%	0%	100%	20%
2.5	80%	0%	100%	0%
3.5	40%	0%	40%	0%
4.5	40%	0%	20%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Metta / LU			Valmiera / BSS
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	3	1	4	1	0	1
Failed to score	0	0	0	0	0	0

Penalties

Metric	Metta / LU	Valmiera / BSS
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Metta / LU	Valmiera / BSS
Wins	5	5
Draws	0	0
Losses	0	0

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	8-0	0-3	4-0	1-5
Biggest losses	—	—	—	—
Goals For	8	3	4	5
Goals Against	0	1	1	2

Model comparison

Metric	Metta / LU	Valmiera / BSS
Form	50%	50%
Att	54%	46%
Def	83%	17%
Poisson Distribution	100%	0%
H2h	29%	71%
Goals	31%	69%
Total	49.4%	50.6%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Metta / LU vs Valmiera / BSS

Metric	Metta / LU	Valmiera / BSS
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0