Tue, Apr 21 2026 • 19:10 •
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Expected Goals
3.26 (league 1.19)
1.20 (league 1.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 66.0% | 12.5% | 10.1% |
best score tips
3 - 1
8.0%
2 - 1
7.4%
3 - 0
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Toulouse | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lens | 0 | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.7% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.5% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lens | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 100% | 100% |
| Attack | 72% | 44% |
| Defense | 72% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 3.3 | 8 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 4 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
76%
FT probability
3.5+
54%
FT probability
BTTS
90%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lens | Toulouse | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Lens: WWWW • Toulouse: WWWW
League goals
| Metric | Lens | Toulouse | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 8 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lens | Toulouse | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 75% | 100% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 50% | 75% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 100% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lens | Toulouse | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lens | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lens | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-3 | 1-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lens | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 69% | 31% |
| Total | 61.5% | 38.5% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Lens and +1.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.64 @ 1xBet
Draw4.20 @ Dafabet
Away6.20 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.82 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.14 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.80 @ 10Bet
No1.95 @ 10Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Lens
vs
Toulouse
Expected goals
3.26
Lens xG
League Avg: 1.19
Total
4.46
1.20
Toulouse xG
League Avg: 1.92
1x2 probabilities
Home
66.0%
Draw
12.5%
Away
10.1%
Best score tips
Tip
3 - 1
8.0%
Tip
2 - 1
7.4%
Tip
3 - 0
6.7%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
76%
Chance
3.5+
54%
Chance
BTTS
90%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Lens = 3.26 (league 1.19), Toulouse = 1.20 (league 1.92)
| Toulouse | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lens | 0 | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.7% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.5% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.0% · Draw 12.5% · Away win 10.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1