Cup — Russia
Thu, Mar 19 2026 • 15:30 • Samara Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.28 (league 1.40) 1.80 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.4% 19.9% 29.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.9%
2 - 2
7.1%
1 - 1
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Lokomotiv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Krylia Sovetov 0 1.7% 3.0% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
1 3.9% 6.9% 6.2% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6%
2 4.4% 7.9% 7.1% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7%
3 3.4% 6.0% 5.4% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5%
4 1.9% 3.4% 3.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
5 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKrylia SovetovLokomotiv
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack56%44%
Defense38%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Krylia Sovetov Lokomotiv
HATHAT
Played448459
Wins75%50%63%50%60%56%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses25%50%38%50%40%44%

Form: Krylia Sovetov: WLWLWLWW • Lokomotiv: LWWWLWLLW

League goals

Metric Krylia Sovetov Lokomotiv
HATHAT
GF total85136915
GF avg2.01.31.61.51.81.7
GA total58134812
GA avg1.32.01.61.01.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKrylia SovetovLokomotiv
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%75%89%78%
1.550%50%67%33%
2.513%25%11%22%
3.513%13%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKrylia SovetovLokomotiv
HATHAT
Clean sheets202202
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricKrylia SovetovLokomotiv
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricKrylia SovetovLokomotiv
Wins13
Draws00
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-22-01-3
Biggest losses1-24-02-33-1
Goals For4223
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricKrylia SovetovLokomotiv
Form60%40%
Att56%44%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h50%50%
Goals58%42%
Total54.7%45.3%

Advice: Double chance : Krylia Sovetov or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.18 @ 1xBet
Draw4.08 @ Pinnacle
Away1.91 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.09 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Pinnacle
No2.04 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Krylia Sovetov = 2.28 (league 1.40), Lokomotiv = 1.80 (league 1.30)

Lokomotiv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Krylia Sovetov 0 1.7% 3.0% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
1 3.9% 6.9% 6.2% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6%
2 4.4% 7.9% 7.1% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7%
3 3.4% 6.0% 5.4% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5%
4 1.9% 3.4% 3.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
5 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.4% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 29.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1