Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 18:00 •
Estadio El Fortin
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.30)
0.97 (league 0.72)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.9% | 25.7% | 23.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.5%
1 - 1
12.2%
2 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Santamarina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Villa Mitre | 0 | 8.2% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 12.1% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.7% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Villa Mitre | Santamarina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 4 |
| Form | 33% | 42% |
| Attack | 14% | 43% |
| Defense | 86% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 6 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 4 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
48%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Villa Mitre | Santamarina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
Form: Villa Mitre: LWL • Santamarina: DLDW
League goals
| Metric | Villa Mitre | Santamarina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Villa Mitre | Santamarina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 67% | 50% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 0% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Villa Mitre | Santamarina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Villa Mitre | Santamarina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Villa Mitre | Santamarina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 4-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Villa Mitre | Santamarina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 70% | 30% |
| Total | 55.0% | 45.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Villa Mitre or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.57 @ Bet365
Draw3.75 @ Unibet
Away7.50 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.45 @ BetVictor
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.55 @ BetVictor
No1.50 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Villa Mitre
vs
Santamarina
Expected goals
1.54
Villa Mitre xG
League Avg: 1.30
Total
2.51
0.97
Santamarina xG
League Avg: 0.72
1x2 probabilities
Home
49.9%
Draw
25.7%
Away
23.9%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
12.5%
Tip
1 - 1
12.2%
Tip
2 - 0
9.6%
More chances
1.5+
56%
Chance
2.5+
40%
Chance
3.5+
28%
Chance
BTTS
48%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Villa Mitre = 1.54 (league 1.30), Santamarina = 0.97 (league 0.72)
| Santamarina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Villa Mitre | 0 | 8.2% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 12.1% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.7% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.2% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 23.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1