Shangyu Pterosaur vs Xiamen Feilu

League Two — China

Wed, Apr 29 2026 • 11:30 • Dingnan Football Youth Training Center

Not Started

home	draw	away
31.4%	19.3%	44.0%

		Xiamen Feilu
Shangyu Pterosaur	0	1.2%	2.9%	3.5%	2.8%	1.7%	0.8%
1	2.4%	5.8%	7.0%	5.6%	3.4%	1.6%
2	2.4%	5.9%	7.1%	5.7%	3.4%	1.7%
3	1.6%	3.9%	4.7%	3.8%	2.3%	1.1%
4	0.8%	2.0%	2.4%	1.9%	1.2%	0.6%
5	0.3%	0.8%	1.0%	0.8%	0.5%	0.2%

Away lean

Xiamen Feilu carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 33 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Shangyu Pterosaur -4.3, Xiamen Feilu +18.7.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone

Shangyu Pterosaur Elo 1440.8 · -4.3

Xiamen Feilu Elo 1508.7 · +18.7

Elo gapXiamen Feilu +33

Home / draw / away33% / 26% / 41%

Expected home share45%

Combined Elo2949.5

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Away lean

Confidence band Lean confidence

Upset risk Medium-high

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 2949.5

Elo home share 45%

Match tone Good Watch

Metric	Shangyu Pterosaur	Xiamen Feilu
Overall Elo	1440.8	1508.7
Form Elo	1436.7	1525.1
Home / Away Elo	1507.7	1494.4
Attack Elo	1376.3	1531.2
Defense Elo	1496.7	1482.2
Last 5 Elo change	-4.3	+18.7

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Shangyu Pterosaur last-5 Elo change: -4.3; Xiamen Feilu last-5 Elo change: +18.7.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Shangyu Pterosaur	Xiamen Feilu
Played	5	5
Form	27%	60%
Attack	25%	100%
Defense	67%	25%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	3 \| 0.6	12 \| 2.4
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	4 \| 0.8	9 \| 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%

FT probability

2.5+

63%

FT probability

3.5+

45%

FT probability

BTTS

83%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-3

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Shangyu Pterosaur			Xiamen Feilu
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	2	3	5	3	2	5
Wins	0%	0%	0%	67%	0%	40%
Draws	100%	67%	80%	33%	100%	60%
Loses	0%	33%	20%	0%	0%	0%

Shangyu PterosaurDDDLD

Xiamen FeiluWDDDW

League goals

Metric	Shangyu Pterosaur			Xiamen Feilu
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	2	1	3	7	5	12
GF avg	1.0	0.3	0.6	2.3	2.5	2.4
GA total	2	2	4	4	5	9
GA avg	1.0	0.7	0.8	1.3	2.5	1.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Shangyu Pterosaur		Xiamen Feilu
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	60%	60%	100%	80%
1.5	0%	20%	100%	60%
2.5	0%	0%	40%	40%
3.5	0%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Shangyu Pterosaur			Xiamen Feilu
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	0	2	2	1	0	1
Failed to score	0	2	2	0	0	0

Penalties

Metric	Shangyu Pterosaur	Xiamen Feilu
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Shangyu Pterosaur	Xiamen Feilu
Wins	0	1
Draws	3	3
Losses	1	0

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	—	—	2-0	—
Biggest losses	—	2-1	—	—
Goals For	1	1	3	3
Goals Against	1	2	3	3

Model comparison

Metric	Shangyu Pterosaur	Xiamen Feilu
Form	31%	69%
Att	20%	80%
Def	69%	31%
Poisson Distribution	48%	52%
H2h	0%	0%
Goals	0%	0%
Total	42.0%	58.0%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Shangyu Pterosaur vs Xiamen Feilu

Metric	Shangyu Pterosaur	Xiamen Feilu
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Shangyu Pterosaur vs Xiamen Feilu