League Two — China
Thu, Apr 30 2026 • 07:00 • Dalian Football Youth Training Base Stadium
Not Started

Dalian Kewei

—

BIT

Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.24) 0.25 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.7% 24.1% 5.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
25.8%
2 - 0
19.7%
0 - 0
16.9%
Score & goals probability table
BIT
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dalian Kewei 0 16.9% 4.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.8% 6.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.7% 4.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.0% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Dalian Kewei carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 109 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Dalian Kewei +15.1, BIT -35.5.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Dalian Kewei Elo 1523.4 · +15.1
vs
BIT Elo 1449.7 · -35.5
Elo gapDalian Kewei +109
Home / draw / away53% / 18% / 29%
Expected home share65%
Combined Elo2973.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2973.1
Elo home share 65%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Dalian Kewei BIT
Overall Elo1523.41449.7
Form Elo1538.41421.7
Home / Away Elo1516.91472.7
Attack Elo1473.71505.3
Defense Elo1549.31499.6
Last 5 Elo change+15.1-35.5

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Dalian Kewei last-5 Elo change: +15.1; BIT last-5 Elo change: -35.5.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDalian KeweiBIT
Played55
Form60%7%
Attack25%33%
Defense92%8%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-3
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dalian Kewei BIT
HATHAT
Played325235
Wins67%0%40%0%0%0%
Draws33%100%60%0%33%20%
Loses0%0%0%100%67%80%
Dalian KeweiDWDWD
BITLLLLD

League goals

Metric Dalian Kewei BIT
HATHAT
GF total213044
GF avg0.70.50.60.01.30.8
GA total0113811
GA avg0.00.50.21.52.72.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDalian KeweiBIT
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%20%60%100%
1.50%0%20%80%
2.50%0%0%20%
3.50%0%0%20%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDalian KeweiBIT
HATHAT
Clean sheets314000
Failed to score112202

Penalties

MetricDalian KeweiBIT
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricDalian KeweiBIT
Wins10
Draws10
Losses04

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0———
Biggest losses——0-24-1
Goals For1102
Goals Against0124

Model comparison

MetricDalian KeweiBIT
Form90%10%
Att43%57%
Def92%8%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total75.0%25.0%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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