League Two
— China
Thu, Apr 30 2026 • 11:30 •
Lanzhou Olympic Center Stadium
Expected Goals
0.48 (league 1.24)
0.72 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.8% | 41.3% | 36.9% |
best score tips
0 - 0
29.9%
0 - 1
21.6%
1 - 0
14.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Nantong Haimen Codion | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rizhao Yuqi | 0 | 29.9% | 21.6% | 7.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.5% | 10.5% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Rizhao Yuqi -2.0, Nantong Haimen Codion -20.6.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Rizhao Yuqi
vs
Nantong Haimen Codion
Elo gapRizhao Yuqi +14
Home / draw / away37% / 28% / 35%
Expected home share52%
Combined Elo3068.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3068.9
Elo home share
52%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Rizhao Yuqi | Nantong Haimen Codion |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1524.1 | 1544.8 |
| Form Elo | 1518.1 | 1526 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1471.2 | 1496.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1463.6 | 1604.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1562.5 | 1574.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -2.0 | -20.6 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Rizhao Yuqi last-5 Elo change: -2.0; Nantong Haimen Codion last-5 Elo change: -20.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Rizhao Yuqi | Nantong Haimen Codion |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 33% |
| Attack | 17% | 58% |
| Defense | 67% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
51%
FT probability
2.5+
36%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
47%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Rizhao Yuqi | Nantong Haimen Codion | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 33% | 20% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Draws | 50% | 67% | 60% | 67% | 0% | 40% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 100% | 40% |
Rizhao YuqiWDDLD
Nantong Haimen CodionDLWLD
League goals
| Metric | Rizhao Yuqi | Nantong Haimen Codion | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Rizhao Yuqi | Nantong Haimen Codion | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 40% | 40% | 60% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 20% | 40% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 20% | 20% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Rizhao Yuqi | Nantong Haimen Codion | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Rizhao Yuqi | Nantong Haimen Codion |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Rizhao Yuqi | Nantong Haimen Codion |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | 4-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | — | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Rizhao Yuqi | Nantong Haimen Codion |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 22% | 78% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 36.4% | 63.6% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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