Wed, Mar 25 2026 • 20:30 •
Edward Seaga Sports Complex
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.35)
0.39 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 46.0% | 38.4% | 15.6% |
best score tips
0 - 0
27.9%
1 - 0
24.7%
2 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Chapelton | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tivoli Gardens | 0 | 28.0% | 10.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.7% | 9.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.9% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tivoli Gardens | Chapelton |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 40% |
| Attack | 33% | 56% |
| Defense | 56% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
53%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tivoli Gardens | Chapelton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 36% | 20% | 28% | 53% | 21% | 38% |
| Draws | 36% | 40% | 38% | 13% | 21% | 17% |
| Loses | 29% | 40% | 34% | 33% | 57% | 45% |
Tivoli GardensLDWLDDLWWWLLWDWLLDWDDLDLDWDLD
ChapeltonWWWLDLLLDDLLWWDWWLLLDWWLLLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Tivoli Gardens | Chapelton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 14 | 28 | 19 | 5 | 24 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 15 | 23 | 38 | 14 | 17 | 31 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tivoli Gardens | Chapelton | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 59% | 72% | 45% | 59% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 34% | 28% | 34% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 14% | 10% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tivoli Gardens | Chapelton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 16 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tivoli Gardens | Chapelton |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tivoli Gardens | Chapelton |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tivoli Gardens | Chapelton |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 56.5% | 43.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.32 @ Betano
Draw3.10 @ 10Bet
Away3.15 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.35 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.03 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Tivoli Gardens
vs
Chapelton
Expected goals
0.89
Tivoli Gardens xG
League Avg: 1.35
Total
1.28
0.39
Chapelton xG
League Avg: 1.13
1x2 probabilities
Home
46.0%
Draw
38.4%
Away
15.6%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
27.9%
Tip
1 - 0
24.7%
Tip
2 - 0
11.0%
More chances
1.5+
56%
Chance
2.5+
40%
Chance
3.5+
28%
Chance
BTTS
53%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Tivoli Gardens = 0.88 (league 1.36), Chapelton = 0.39 (league 1.12)
| Chapelton | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tivoli Gardens | 0 | 28.0% | 10.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.7% | 9.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.9% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.8% · Draw 38.5% · Away win 15.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1