Wed, Apr 15 2026 • 19:00 •
Allianz Arena
Expected Goals
2.64 (league 1.82)
1.01 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0% | 15.8% | 12.0% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.2%
2 - 0
9.1%
3 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Real Madrid | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bayern München | 0 | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.1% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.0% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bayern München | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 80% |
| Attack | 100% | 75% |
| Defense | 67% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 16 | 3.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
76%
FT probability
3.5+
54%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bayern München | Real Madrid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 100% | 83% | 91% | 71% | 67% | 69% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 17% | 9% | 29% | 33% | 31% |
Form: Bayern München: WWWWLWWWWWW • Real Madrid: WWWLWLWLWWWWL
League goals
| Metric | Bayern München | Real Madrid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 18 | 34 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
| GF avg | 3.2 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 3 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bayern München | Real Madrid | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 82% | 92% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% | 62% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 55% | 9% | 31% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 36% | 0% | 23% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 18% | 0% | 15% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bayern München | Real Madrid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bayern München | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bayern München | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-6 | 6-1 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bayern München | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 59.8% | 40.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Bayern München or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.61 @ 188Bet
Draw6.08 @ 1xBet
Away4.90 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.33 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.54.80 @ BetVictor
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.35 @ 188Bet
No3.50 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Bayern München
vs
Real Madrid
Expected goals
2.64
Bayern München xG
League Avg: 1.82
Total
3.64
1.01
Real Madrid xG
League Avg: 1.37
1x2 probabilities
Home
67.0%
Draw
15.8%
Away
12.0%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 1
9.2%
Tip
2 - 0
9.1%
Tip
3 - 1
8.0%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
76%
Chance
3.5+
54%
Chance
BTTS
81%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Bayern München = 2.64 (league 1.82), Real Madrid = 1.01 (league 1.37)
| Real Madrid | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bayern München | 0 | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.1% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.0% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.0% · Draw 15.8% · Away win 12.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1