Wed, Apr 22 2026 • 21:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.37 (league 1.20)
2.50 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.1% | 18.5% | 38.9% |
best score tips
2 - 2
6.7%
1 - 2
5.7%
2 - 3
5.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Juticalpa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Victoria | 0 | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 2.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Victoria -21.7, Juticalpa -11.6.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Victoria
vs
Juticalpa
Elo gapJuticalpa +10
Home / draw / away35% / 29% / 36%
Expected home share49%
Combined Elo2844.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2844.5
Elo home share
49%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Victoria | Juticalpa |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1399.9 | 1444.6 |
| Form Elo | 1374 | 1433 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1449.3 | 1514.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1459.5 | 1397.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1372.4 | 1327.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -21.7 | -11.6 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Victoria last-5 Elo change: -21.7; Juticalpa last-5 Elo change: -11.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Victoria | Juticalpa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 33% |
| Attack | 47% | 24% |
| Defense | 18% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Victoria | Juticalpa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 18 | 17 | 35 | 19 | 18 | 37 |
| Wins | 28% | 12% | 20% | 26% | 22% | 24% |
| Draws | 11% | 24% | 17% | 26% | 44% | 35% |
| Loses | 61% | 65% | 63% | 47% | 33% | 41% |
VictoriaLLLLLLWLLLDDLLLLWWWDDDDWLWLLLLLWLLL
JuticalpaLWDDWWLWDDDLWLDWLLDLWLDDDLLLWLDLLWDLD
League goals
| Metric | Victoria | Juticalpa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 27 | 18 | 45 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 40 | 33 | 73 | 44 | 35 | 79 |
| GA avg | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Victoria | Juticalpa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 66% | 97% | 76% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 46% | 66% | 27% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 31% | 11% | 32% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 11% | 3% | 22% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 8% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Victoria | Juticalpa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 6 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Victoria | Juticalpa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Victoria | Juticalpa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-3 | 4-3 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-1 | 1-7 | 7-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Victoria | Juticalpa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 48.2% | 52.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Victoria
vs
Juticalpa
Expected goals
2.37
Victoria xG
League Avg: 1.20
Total
4.87
2.50
Juticalpa xG
League Avg: 1.06
1x2 probabilities
Home
35.1%
Draw
18.5%
Away
38.9%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 2
6.7%
Tip
1 - 2
5.7%
Tip
2 - 3
5.6%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
68%
Chance
3.5+
48%
Chance
BTTS
77%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 5
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Victoria = 2.37 (league 1.20), Juticalpa = 2.50 (league 1.06)
| Juticalpa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Victoria | 0 | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 2.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.1% · Draw 18.5% · Away win 38.9%
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