Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 01:30 •
Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas
Expected Goals
1.93 (league 1.20)
2.14 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.3% | 20.4% | 41.7% |
best score tips
1 - 2
7.6%
2 - 2
7.3%
1 - 1
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| CD Motagua | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Olancho | 0 | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Olancho | CD Motagua |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 53% | 37% |
| Defense | 84% | 68% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
88%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Olancho | CD Motagua | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 19 | 21 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 40 |
| Wins | 47% | 24% | 35% | 40% | 55% | 48% |
| Draws | 42% | 38% | 40% | 40% | 20% | 30% |
| Loses | 11% | 38% | 25% | 20% | 25% | 23% |
Form: Olancho: LWDWWDDWDWDDLDLDLLDWLDWLLDDWWDLDWDWDLWWW • CD Motagua: LLLDWWWDWDWDLWWWWDLWLLDDWDDWDWWDWWWDWLLW
League goals
| Metric | Olancho | CD Motagua | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 39 | 29 | 68 | 32 | 37 | 69 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 22 | 28 | 50 | 31 | 21 | 52 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Olancho | CD Motagua | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 80% | 78% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 35% | 50% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 8% | 28% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 3% | 8% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Olancho | CD Motagua | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Olancho | CD Motagua |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Olancho | CD Motagua |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-2 | 0-4 | 3-1 | 1-7 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-1 | 0-4 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Olancho | CD Motagua |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 59% | 41% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 56.0% | 44.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Olancho or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Olancho
vs
CD Motagua
Expected goals
1.93
Olancho xG
League Avg: 1.20
Total
4.07
2.14
CD Motagua xG
League Avg: 1.06
1x2 probabilities
Home
34.3%
Draw
20.4%
Away
41.7%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 2
7.6%
Tip
2 - 2
7.3%
Tip
1 - 1
7.0%
More chances
1.5+
88%
Chance
2.5+
62%
Chance
3.5+
44%
Chance
BTTS
77%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 5
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Olancho = 1.92 (league 1.20), CD Motagua = 2.16 (league 1.06)
| CD Motagua | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Olancho | 0 | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.9% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 42.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1