Thu, Apr 16 2026 • 16:45 •
AFAS Stadion
Expected Goals
1.60 (league 1.63)
0.61 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 60.7% | 24.6% | 14.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.5%
2 - 0
14.0%
0 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Shakhtar Donetsk | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 10.9% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.5% | 10.7% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.0% | 8.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AZ Alkmaar | Shakhtar Donetsk |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 67% |
| Attack | 71% | 64% |
| Defense | 64% | 79% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AZ Alkmaar | Shakhtar Donetsk | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 88% | 44% | 65% | 33% | 100% | 64% |
| Draws | 13% | 0% | 6% | 33% | 0% | 18% |
| Loses | 0% | 56% | 29% | 33% | 0% | 18% |
AZ AlkmaarLWWWWWLWLWWDLWWWL
Shakhtar DonetskDWWLWWWDWLW
League goals
| Metric | AZ Alkmaar | Shakhtar Donetsk | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 14 | 35 | 8 | 12 | 20 |
| GF avg | 2.6 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 2 | 15 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AZ Alkmaar | Shakhtar Donetsk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 41% | 91% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 59% | 24% | 64% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 41% | 24% | 27% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 24% | 12% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AZ Alkmaar | Shakhtar Donetsk | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | AZ Alkmaar | Shakhtar Donetsk |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | AZ Alkmaar | Shakhtar Donetsk |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-4 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-0 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AZ Alkmaar | Shakhtar Donetsk |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 44.3% | 55.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.60 @ Betano
Draw3.70 @ 188Bet
Away3.65 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.77 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.15 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.62 @ William Hill
No2.32 @ Betano
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
AZ Alkmaar
vs
Shakhtar Donetsk
Expected goals
1.60
AZ Alkmaar xG
League Avg: 1.63
Total
2.21
0.61
Shakhtar Donetsk xG
League Avg: 1.17
1x2 probabilities
Home
60.7%
Draw
24.6%
Away
14.1%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
17.5%
Tip
2 - 0
14.0%
Tip
0 - 0
10.9%
More chances
1.5+
86%
Chance
2.5+
61%
Chance
3.5+
43%
Chance
BTTS
69%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): AZ Alkmaar = 1.60 (league 1.63), Shakhtar Donetsk = 0.61 (league 1.17)
| Shakhtar Donetsk | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 10.9% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.5% | 10.7% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.0% | 8.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.7% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 14.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1