1. Division
— Cyprus
Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 16:00 •
Alphamega Stadium
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.47)
1.18 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.9% | 29.9% | 43.0% |
best score tips
0 - 1
15.2%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
| AEK Larnaca | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Apollon Limassol | 0 | 12.9% | 15.2% | 9.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.2% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Apollon Limassol | AEK Larnaca |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 67% |
| Attack | 50% | 67% |
| Defense | 67% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Apollon Limassol | AEK Larnaca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 69% | 50% | 59% | 64% | 62% | 63% |
| Draws | 8% | 36% | 22% | 21% | 15% | 19% |
| Loses | 23% | 14% | 19% | 14% | 23% | 19% |
Apollon LimassolLLWWLWWDLWWDDLWWWWWWWWWDWDD
AEK LarnacaWDLWWLWDWWWDWDWWLWWWWLLDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Apollon Limassol | AEK Larnaca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 16 | 37 | 28 | 22 | 50 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Apollon Limassol | AEK Larnaca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 52% | 89% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 37% | 26% | 56% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 7% | 22% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 15% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Apollon Limassol | AEK Larnaca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Apollon Limassol | AEK Larnaca |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 7 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 7 |
Streaks
| Metric | Apollon Limassol | AEK Larnaca |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 9 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-2 | 5-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-1 | 2-4 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Apollon Limassol | AEK Larnaca |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 41% | 59% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 23% | 77% |
| Total | 37.7% | 62.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.50 @ Betano
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away3.10 @ Superbet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.23 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.94 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ Betano
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Apollon Limassol
vs
AEK Larnaca
Expected goals
0.87
Apollon Limassol xG
League Avg: 1.47
Total
2.05
1.18
AEK Larnaca xG
League Avg: 1.15
1x2 probabilities
Home
26.9%
Draw
29.9%
Away
43.0%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
15.2%
Tip
1 - 1
13.2%
Tip
0 - 0
12.9%
More chances
1.5+
71%
Chance
2.5+
50%
Chance
3.5+
35%
Chance
BTTS
67%
Chance
🟨 Cards
3 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Apollon Limassol = 0.87 (league 1.47), AEK Larnaca = 1.18 (league 1.15)
| AEK Larnaca | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Apollon Limassol | 0 | 12.9% | 15.2% | 9.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.2% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.9% · Draw 29.9% · Away win 43.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1