Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 09:30 •
Stryda Park
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 2.28)
2.21 (league 1.81)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 13.5% | 18.7% | 65.1% |
best score tips
0 - 2
11.1%
0 - 1
10.1%
1 - 2
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Canberra Olympic | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Monaro Panthers | 0 | 4.6% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| 1 | 4.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Monaro Panthers carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 63 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Monaro Panthers +18.3, Canberra Olympic -10.4.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Monaro Panthers
vs
Canberra Olympic
Elo gapMonaro Panthers +63
Home / draw / away46% / 23% / 31%
Expected home share59%
Combined Elo3213.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3213.2
Elo home share
59%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Monaro Panthers | Canberra Olympic |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1620.7 | 1592.5 |
| Form Elo | 1664.5 | 1557.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1543 | 1572.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1778.9 | 1716.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1584.6 | 1479.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +18.3 | -10.4 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Monaro Panthers last-5 Elo change: +18.3; Canberra Olympic last-5 Elo change: -10.4.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Monaro Panthers | Canberra Olympic |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 3 |
| Form | 100% | 67% |
| Attack | 26% | 47% |
| Defense | 95% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 2.5 | 9 | 3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | 2.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
82%
FT probability
3.5+
58%
FT probability
BTTS
91%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Monaro Panthers | Canberra Olympic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 67% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 33% |
Monaro PanthersWW
Canberra OlympicWLW
League goals
| Metric | Monaro Panthers | Canberra Olympic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 9 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Monaro Panthers | Canberra Olympic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 0% | 67% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 33% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 33% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Monaro Panthers | Canberra Olympic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Monaro Panthers | Canberra Olympic |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Monaro Panthers | Canberra Olympic |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-3 | — | 1-6 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-5 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Monaro Panthers | Canberra Olympic |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 88% | 13% |
| Poisson Distribution | 31% | 69% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 79% | 21% |
| Total | 62.8% | 37.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Monaro Panthers
vs
Canberra Olympic
Expected goals
0.88
Monaro Panthers xG
League Avg: 2.28
Total
3.09
2.21
Canberra Olympic xG
League Avg: 1.81
1x2 probabilities
Home
13.5%
Draw
18.7%
Away
65.1%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 2
11.1%
Tip
0 - 1
10.1%
Tip
1 - 2
9.8%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
82%
Chance
3.5+
58%
Chance
BTTS
91%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Monaro Panthers = 0.88 (league 2.28), Canberra Olympic = 2.21 (league 1.81)
| Canberra Olympic | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Monaro Panthers | 0 | 4.6% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| 1 | 4.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.5% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 65.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1