Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 16:00 • Parque Capurro
Match Finished
4 - 1
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.07) 1.05 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.9% 26.8% 27.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
12.1%
0 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Cerrito
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fenix 0 8.6% 9.0% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.1% 12.7% 6.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.5% 8.9% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.0% 4.2% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFenixCerrito
Played33
Form56%78%
Attack40%60%
Defense70%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 1.36 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 13 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fenix Cerrito
HATHAT
Played213213
Wins50%0%33%100%0%67%
Draws50%100%67%0%100%33%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%
FenixDDW
CerritoWDW

League goals

Metric Fenix Cerrito
HATHAT
GF total314516
GF avg1.51.01.32.51.02.0
GA total213213
GA avg1.01.01.01.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFenixCerrito
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%100%100%
1.533%33%67%0%
2.533%0%33%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFenixCerrito
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricFenixCerrito
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricFenixCerrito
Wins01
Draws21
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-2—3-1—
Biggest losses————
Goals For3131
Goals Against2111

Model comparison

MetricFenixCerrito
Form42%58%
Att40%60%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h93%7%
Goals68%32%
Total58.5%41.5%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.28 @ Unibet
Draw3.24 @ Pinnacle
Away3.05 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ 10Bet
No1.91 @ William Hill
📊

League standings

Loading standings…
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Fenix
vs
Cerrito
Segunda División • Uruguay • Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 16:00 • Parque Capurro
Expected goals
1.41
Fenix xG League Avg: 1.07
Total
2.45
1.05
Cerrito xG League Avg: 0.96
1x2 probabilities
Home
44.9%
Draw
26.8%
Away
27.9%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
12.7%
Tip
1 - 0
12.1%
Tip
0 - 1
9.0%
More chances
1.5+
70%
Chance
2.5+
49%
Chance
3.5+
35%
Chance
BTTS
73%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
#Fenix #Cerrito #SegundaDivisión #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Fenix = 1.41 (league 1.07), Cerrito = 1.05 (league 0.96)

Cerrito
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fenix 0 8.6% 9.0% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.1% 12.7% 6.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.5% 8.9% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.0% 4.2% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.9% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 27.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1