Thu, Apr 16 2026 • 01:00 •
Estadio Independencia
Expected Goals
2.12 (league 1.44)
0.76 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 66.6% | 19.1% | 12.2% |
best score tips
2 - 0
12.6%
1 - 0
11.9%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Walter Ferretti | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Estelí | 0 | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.9% | 9.1% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.6% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.9% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Real Estelí | Walter Ferretti |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 33% |
| Attack | 100% | 55% |
| Defense | 73% | 27% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Real Estelí | Walter Ferretti | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 18 | 18 | 36 | 18 | 16 | 34 |
| Wins | 67% | 50% | 58% | 56% | 6% | 32% |
| Draws | 22% | 28% | 25% | 17% | 44% | 29% |
| Loses | 11% | 22% | 17% | 28% | 50% | 38% |
Form: Real Estelí: WDWWWDWLWDDWDLDWWLWLWWWDLWDWWDWWWWWL • Walter Ferretti: WLWWDDDLWDWLLDWLLWLDWLLDWLLDWLWLDD
League goals
| Metric | Real Estelí | Walter Ferretti | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 35 | 31 | 66 | 31 | 14 | 45 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 16 | 15 | 31 | 24 | 25 | 49 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Real Estelí | Walter Ferretti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 61% | 65% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 53% | 19% | 32% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 31% | 6% | 21% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 9% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 3% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Real Estelí | Walter Ferretti | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Real Estelí | Walter Ferretti |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 3 | 75.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 25.00% |
| Total | 4 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Real Estelí | Walter Ferretti |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-4 | 6-2 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Real Estelí | Walter Ferretti |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 65% | 35% |
| Def | 73% | 27% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 85% | 15% |
| Total | 77.2% | 22.8% |
Advice: Winner : Real Estelí
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.24 @ Betano
Draw6.03 @ 1xBet
Away13.20 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.38 @ BetVictor
No1.60 @ Betfair
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.71 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.08 @ 1xBet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Real Estelí
vs
Walter Ferretti
Expected goals
2.12
Real Estelí xG
League Avg: 1.44
Total
2.88
0.76
Walter Ferretti xG
League Avg: 1.06
1x2 probabilities
Home
66.6%
Draw
19.1%
Away
12.2%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 0
12.6%
Tip
1 - 0
11.9%
Tip
2 - 1
9.6%
More chances
1.5+
76%
Chance
2.5+
54%
Chance
3.5+
38%
Chance
BTTS
66%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Real Estelí = 2.12 (league 1.44), Walter Ferretti = 0.76 (league 1.06)
| Walter Ferretti | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Estelí | 0 | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.9% | 9.1% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.6% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.9% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.6% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 12.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1