Iraqi League
— Iraq
Tue, Apr 21 2026 • 16:30 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.01 (league 1.21)
1.10 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 56.6% | 21.4% | 20.3% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 1
9.9%
2 - 0
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Baghdad | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Minaa Basra | 0 | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.0% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.0% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.0% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Al Minaa Basra | Baghdad |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 47% |
| Attack | 15% | 54% |
| Defense | 31% | 31% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Al Minaa Basra | Baghdad | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 15 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 23% | 20% | 21% | 36% | 14% | 25% |
| Draws | 38% | 20% | 29% | 21% | 14% | 18% |
| Loses | 38% | 60% | 50% | 43% | 71% | 57% |
Form: Al Minaa Basra: WLLWDWLLDLLLWDDDDLLWWLDDLLLL • Baghdad: LLWWLLWWWLDLDLLDDLLLLLLLWLWD
League goals
| Metric | Al Minaa Basra | Baghdad | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 11 | 25 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 15 | 21 | 36 | 19 | 31 | 50 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Al Minaa Basra | Baghdad | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 79% | 71% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 36% | 29% | 54% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 11% | 4% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 4% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Al Minaa Basra | Baghdad | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Al Minaa Basra | Baghdad |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Al Minaa Basra | Baghdad |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 7 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 1-3 | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-1 | 0-3 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Al Minaa Basra | Baghdad |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 13% | 88% |
| Att | 22% | 78% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 43.7% | 56.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Al Minaa Basra or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Al Minaa Basra
vs
Baghdad
Expected goals
2.01
Al Minaa Basra xG
League Avg: 1.21
Total
3.11
1.10
Baghdad xG
League Avg: 1.09
1x2 probabilities
Home
56.6%
Draw
21.4%
Away
20.3%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 1
9.9%
Tip
1 - 1
9.9%
Tip
2 - 0
9.0%
More chances
1.5+
76%
Chance
2.5+
53%
Chance
3.5+
38%
Chance
BTTS
71%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Al Minaa Basra = 2.01 (league 1.21), Baghdad = 1.10 (league 1.09)
| Baghdad | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Minaa Basra | 0 | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.0% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.0% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.0% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.6% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 20.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1