US Open Cup — USA
Tue, Apr 28 2026 • 23:00 • Bank of America Stadium
Not Started

Charlotte

—

Atlanta United FC

Expected Goals
4.65 (league 1.29) 0.05 (league 0.77)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.5% 1.1% 0.1%
best score tips
4 - 0
17.7%
5 - 0
16.5%
3 - 0
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
Atlanta United FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Charlotte 0 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.2% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 17.7% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 16.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home edge

Charlotte carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 80 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Charlotte 0.0, Atlanta United FC 0.0.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone
Charlotte Elo 1525.5 · 0.0
vs
Atlanta United FC Elo 1480.8 · 0.0
Elo gapCharlotte +80
Home / draw / away48% / 21% / 31%
Expected home share61%
Combined Elo3006.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home edge
Confidence band Medium confidence
Upset risk Medium
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3006.3
Elo home share 61%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Charlotte Atlanta United FC
Overall Elo1525.51480.8
Form Elo1525.51480.8
Home / Away Elo15421477.1
Attack Elo1492.51482.8
Defense Elo15191525.8
Last 5 Elo change0.00.0

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Charlotte last-5 Elo change: 0.0; Atlanta United FC last-5 Elo change: 0.0.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCharlotteAtlanta United FC
Played11
Form100%100%
Attack33%17%
Defense100%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 63 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 01 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

9.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

9.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

70%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-3
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Charlotte Atlanta United FC
HATHAT
Played101011
Wins100%—100%—100%100%
Draws0%—0%—0%0%
Loses0%—0%—0%0%
CharlotteW
Atlanta United FCW

League goals

Metric Charlotte Atlanta United FC
HATHAT
GF total606033
GF avg6.00.06.00.03.03.0
GA total000011
GA avg0.00.00.00.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCharlotteAtlanta United FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%0%100%100%
1.5100%0%100%0%
2.5100%0%100%0%
3.5100%0%0%0%
4.5100%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCharlotteAtlanta United FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricCharlotteAtlanta United FC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCharlotteAtlanta United FC
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-0——1-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For6003
Goals Against0001

Model comparison

MetricCharlotteAtlanta United FC
Form50%50%
Att67%33%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h80%20%
Goals65%35%
Total65.5%34.5%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…
League page • Country page • Venue page • Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC