Thu, Mar 19 2026 • 20:00 •
Villa Park
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.57)
0.40 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.6% | 35.1% | 14.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
24.7%
0 - 0
24.3%
2 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Lille | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aston Villa | 0 | 24.3% | 9.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.7% | 9.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.6% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Aston Villa | Lille |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 40% |
| Attack | 90% | 30% |
| Defense | 60% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
63%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Aston Villa | Lille | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 100% | 80% | 89% | 50% | 40% | 45% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 20% | 11% | 50% | 60% | 55% |
Form: Aston Villa: WWLWWWWWW • Lille: WWLLWLLWLWL
League goals
| Metric | Aston Villa | Lille | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 7 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Aston Villa | Lille | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 44% | 64% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 22% | 27% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 0% | 18% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 9% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Aston Villa | Lille | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Aston Villa | Lille |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Aston Villa | Lille |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 3-4 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Aston Villa | Lille |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 65.7% | 34.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Aston Villa or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.72 @ Betano
Draw4.18 @ 1xBet
Away5.29 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.98 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.97 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.93 @ Pinnacle
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Aston Villa
vs
Lille
Expected goals
1.02
Aston Villa xG
League Avg: 1.57
Total
1.42
0.40
Lille xG
League Avg: 1.21
1x2 probabilities
Home
50.6%
Draw
35.1%
Away
14.2%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
24.7%
Tip
0 - 0
24.3%
Tip
2 - 0
12.6%
More chances
1.5+
63%
Chance
2.5+
44%
Chance
3.5+
31%
Chance
BTTS
63%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Aston Villa = 1.02 (league 1.57), Lille = 0.40 (league 1.21)
| Lille | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aston Villa | 0 | 24.3% | 9.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.7% | 9.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.6% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.6% · Draw 35.1% · Away win 14.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1