Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Gino Cannarsa
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.29)
0.77 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.1% | 32.8% | 27.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.0%
0 - 0
16.9%
1 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Fossombrone | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Termoli Calcio | 0 | 16.9% | 13.0% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.0% | 13.1% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.6% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Termoli Calcio | Fossombrone |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 33% |
| Attack | 31% | 31% |
| Defense | 69% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Termoli Calcio | Fossombrone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 15% | 29% | 22% | 36% | 31% | 33% |
| Draws | 54% | 36% | 44% | 36% | 31% | 33% |
| Loses | 31% | 36% | 33% | 29% | 38% | 33% |
Form: Termoli Calcio: LWDWLDDDDDLDWDDLLDLLDWWLLDW • Fossombrone: DDWDDLLLLWWLWWDLWWWDLDDLLDW
League goals
| Metric | Termoli Calcio | Fossombrone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 10 | 23 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 14 | 12 | 26 | 8 | 17 | 25 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Termoli Calcio | Fossombrone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 78% | 59% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 19% | 15% | 22% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 4% | 0% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Termoli Calcio | Fossombrone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Termoli Calcio | Fossombrone |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Termoli Calcio | Fossombrone |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Termoli Calcio | Fossombrone |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 49.7% | 50.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Fossombrone and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.45 @ 10Bet
Draw3.02 @ Marathonbet
Away2.77 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.08 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.65 @ Marathonbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.80 @ Marathonbet
No1.87 @ 1xBet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Termoli Calcio
vs
Fossombrone
Expected goals
1.01
Termoli Calcio xG
League Avg: 1.29
Total
1.78
0.77
Fossombrone xG
League Avg: 1.14
1x2 probabilities
Home
40.1%
Draw
32.8%
Away
27.0%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
17.0%
Tip
0 - 0
16.9%
Tip
1 - 1
13.1%
More chances
1.5+
56%
Chance
2.5+
39%
Chance
3.5+
28%
Chance
BTTS
62%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Termoli Calcio = 1.01 (league 1.29), Fossombrone = 0.77 (league 1.14)
| Fossombrone | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Termoli Calcio | 0 | 16.9% | 13.0% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.0% | 13.1% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.6% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.1% · Draw 32.8% · Away win 27.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1