Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 14:00 •
Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.25)
0.78 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 46.3% | 29.8% | 23.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.5%
0 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Poggibonsi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Montevarchi Calcio | 0 | 13.5% | 10.5% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.5% | 12.9% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Montevarchi Calcio | Poggibonsi |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 47% |
| Attack | 50% | 42% |
| Defense | 92% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Montevarchi Calcio | Poggibonsi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 29% | 36% | 32% | 29% | 14% | 21% |
| Draws | 50% | 36% | 43% | 14% | 29% | 21% |
| Loses | 21% | 29% | 25% | 57% | 57% | 57% |
Form: Montevarchi Calcio: LDLWDDLWDLLWDLWWDDDLDWDWWDWD • Poggibonsi: LLLDDLLLLDLLLLLWDLWWDWLWWLDL
League goals
| Metric | Montevarchi Calcio | Poggibonsi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 14 | 15 | 29 | 17 | 24 | 41 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Montevarchi Calcio | Poggibonsi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 61% | 54% | 68% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 25% | 14% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 18% | 4% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Montevarchi Calcio | Poggibonsi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Montevarchi Calcio | Poggibonsi |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Montevarchi Calcio | Poggibonsi |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Montevarchi Calcio | Poggibonsi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 61% | 39% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 83% | 17% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 65.3% | 34.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Montevarchi Calcio or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.95 @ William Hill
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.87 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.38 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.06 @ Marathonbet
No1.68 @ Superbet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Montevarchi Calcio
vs
Poggibonsi
Expected goals
1.22
Montevarchi Calcio xG
League Avg: 1.25
Total
2.00
0.78
Poggibonsi xG
League Avg: 1.02
1x2 probabilities
Home
46.3%
Draw
29.8%
Away
23.7%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
16.5%
Tip
0 - 0
13.5%
Tip
1 - 1
12.9%
More chances
1.5+
62%
Chance
2.5+
44%
Chance
3.5+
31%
Chance
BTTS
62%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Montevarchi Calcio = 1.22 (league 1.25), Poggibonsi = 0.78 (league 1.02)
| Poggibonsi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Montevarchi Calcio | 0 | 13.5% | 10.5% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.5% | 12.9% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.3% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 23.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1