Wed, Apr 8 2026 • 13:00 •
Stadio Comunale Daniele Grandi
Expected Goals
0.25 (league 1.20)
1.52 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.7% | 24.1% | 69.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
25.9%
0 - 2
19.7%
0 - 0
17.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Desenzano Calvina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Coriano | 0 | 17.0% | 25.9% | 19.7% | 10.0% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Coriano | Desenzano Calvina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 73% |
| Attack | 46% | 46% |
| Defense | 38% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Coriano | Desenzano Calvina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 14% | 13% | 14% | 60% | 71% | 66% |
| Draws | 29% | 33% | 31% | 27% | 21% | 24% |
| Loses | 57% | 53% | 55% | 13% | 7% | 10% |
Form: Coriano: DLDLWLWDLLLLLDLLLDLDLWLWLDDLD • Desenzano Calvina: LDWDWLWWWDDWWWWWLWWWWWDWWDWWD
League goals
| Metric | Coriano | Desenzano Calvina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 15 | 24 | 29 | 22 | 51 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 16 | 27 | 43 | 13 | 7 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Coriano | Desenzano Calvina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 59% | 90% | 79% | 55% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 41% | 62% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 3% | 14% | 24% | 3% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 3% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Coriano | Desenzano Calvina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Coriano | Desenzano Calvina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Coriano | Desenzano Calvina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | 5-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-1 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Coriano | Desenzano Calvina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 21% | 79% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 27% | 73% |
| Poisson Distribution | 13% | 87% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 27.8% | 72.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Desenzano Calvina
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home8.90 @ 1xBet
Draw4.31 @ Pinnacle
Away1.53 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.10 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.31 @ Marathonbet
No1.60 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Coriano
vs
Desenzano Calvina
Expected goals
0.25
Coriano xG
League Avg: 1.20
Total
1.77
1.52
Desenzano Calvina xG
League Avg: 1.15
1x2 probabilities
Home
5.7%
Draw
24.1%
Away
69.7%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
25.9%
Tip
0 - 2
19.7%
Tip
0 - 0
17.0%
More chances
1.5+
61%
Chance
2.5+
43%
Chance
3.5+
31%
Chance
BTTS
63%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Coriano = 0.25 (league 1.20), Desenzano Calvina = 1.52 (league 1.15)
| Desenzano Calvina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Coriano | 0 | 17.0% | 25.9% | 19.7% | 10.0% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.7% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 69.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1