Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 16:45 •
AFAS Stadion
Expected Goals
2.54 (league 1.73)
1.66 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.5% | 18.5% | 23.7% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.0%
3 - 1
6.8%
2 - 2
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Fortuna Sittard | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AZ Alkmaar | Fortuna Sittard |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Attack | 53% | 60% |
| Defense | 47% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
85%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AZ Alkmaar | Fortuna Sittard | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 15 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 46% | 40% | 43% | 43% | 29% | 36% |
| Draws | 38% | 7% | 21% | 21% | 14% | 18% |
| Loses | 15% | 53% | 36% | 36% | 57% | 46% |
Form: AZ Alkmaar: WDWWDDLWWWWLLLDLWLDWLDWWLLWL • Fortuna Sittard: DLWWLWLWLLLWDDLLWDLWLDLWWLWL
League goals
| Metric | AZ Alkmaar | Fortuna Sittard | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 29 | 18 | 47 | 23 | 20 | 43 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 21 | 24 | 45 | 24 | 28 | 52 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AZ Alkmaar | Fortuna Sittard | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 79% | 89% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 46% | 46% | 46% | 61% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 25% | 14% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 7% | 4% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AZ Alkmaar | Fortuna Sittard | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | AZ Alkmaar | Fortuna Sittard |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | AZ Alkmaar | Fortuna Sittard |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 3-0 | 1-4 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AZ Alkmaar | Fortuna Sittard |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 63% | 38% |
| Total | 54.3% | 45.8% |
Advice: Double chance : AZ Alkmaar or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.33 @ Dafabet
Draw6.50 @ BetVictor
Away10.25 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.40 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.15 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.70 @ Bet365
No2.25 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
AZ Alkmaar
vs
Fortuna Sittard
Expected goals
2.54
AZ Alkmaar xG
League Avg: 1.73
Total
4.20
1.66
Fortuna Sittard xG
League Avg: 1.35
1x2 probabilities
Home
52.5%
Draw
18.5%
Away
23.7%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 1
8.0%
Tip
3 - 1
6.8%
Tip
2 - 2
6.7%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
70%
Chance
3.5+
50%
Chance
BTTS
85%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): AZ Alkmaar = 2.54 (league 1.73), Fortuna Sittard = 1.66 (league 1.35)
| Fortuna Sittard | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.5% · Draw 18.5% · Away win 23.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1