Lille vs Lens - footywow

Ligue 1 — France

Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 19:05 • Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Match Finished

Lille

3 - 0

Lens

Expected Goals

1.10 (league 1.63) 1.58 (league 1.25)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
26.5%	25.0%	47.8%

best score tips

1 - 1

11.9%

0 - 1

10.8%

1 - 2

9.4%

Score & goals probability table

		Lens
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Lille	0	6.8%	10.8%	8.5%	4.5%	1.8%	0.6%
	1	7.5%	11.9%	9.4%	5.0%	2.0%	0.6%
	2	4.2%	6.6%	5.2%	2.7%	1.1%	0.3%
	3	1.5%	2.4%	1.9%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%
	4	0.4%	0.7%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Lille	Lens
Played	5	5
Form	87%	47%
Attack	41%	71%
Defense	82%	59%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	12 \| 2.4
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	3 \| 0.6	7 \| 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%

FT probability

2.5+

57%

FT probability

3.5+

41%

FT probability

BTTS

71%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Lille			Lens
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	13	14	27	14	13	27
Wins	54%	50%	52%	86%	54%	70%
Draws	23%	14%	19%	0%	15%	7%
Loses	23%	36%	30%	14%	31%	22%

Form: Lille: DWWWLLDWWLWLWWWWLLLLDDWWDWW • Lens: LWWLWDWWWLWWWWWWWWLWWWLDWLW

League goals

Metric	Lille			Lens
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	20	22	42	31	23	54
GF avg	1.5	1.6	1.6	2.2	1.8	2.0
GA total	14	20	34	9	15	24
GA avg	1.1	1.4	1.3	0.6	1.2	0.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Lille		Lens
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	70%	70%	85%	63%
1.5	33%	33%	63%	19%
2.5	19%	19%	33%	7%
3.5	15%	4%	11%	0%
4.5	7%	0%	7%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Lille			Lens
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	4	4	8	7	3	10
Failed to score	2	6	8	1	3	4

Penalties

Metric	Lille	Lens
Scored (total \| %)	4 \| 100.00%	4 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	4	4

Streaks

Metric	Lille	Lens
Wins	4	8
Draws	2	1
Losses	4	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	6-1	1-7	5-1	0-5
Biggest losses	1-4	3-0	2-3	3-1
Goals For	6	7	5	5
Goals Against	4	3	3	3

Model comparison

Metric	Lille	Lens
Form	65%	35%
Att	37%	63%
Def	70%	30%
Poisson Distribution	41%	59%
H2h	71%	29%
Goals	55%	45%
Total	56.5%	43.5%

Advice: Double chance : Lille or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.16 @ 1xBet

Draw3.50 @ BetVictor

Away2.47 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.89 @ Pinnacle

Under 2.52.06 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ Superbet

No2.24 @ 188Bet

📊

League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Lille vs Lens

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Prediction and Tips for:

Lille

Lens

Ligue 1 • France • Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 19:05 • Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Expected goals

1.10

Lille xG League Avg: 1.63

Total

2.69

1.58

Lens xG League Avg: 1.25

1x2 probabilities

Home

26.5%

Draw

25.0%

Away

47.8%

Best score tips

Tip

1 - 1

11.9%

Tip

0 - 1

10.8%

Tip

1 - 2

9.4%

More chances

1.5+

81%

Chance

2.5+

57%

Chance

3.5+

41%

Chance

BTTS

71%

Chance

🟨 Cards

2 - 4

Exp.

#Lille #Lens #Ligue1 #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Lille = 1.10 (league 1.63), Lens = 1.58 (league 1.25)

		Lens
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Lille	0	6.8%	10.8%	8.5%	4.5%	1.8%	0.6%
	1	7.5%	11.9%	9.4%	5.0%	2.0%	0.6%
	2	4.2%	6.6%	5.2%	2.7%	1.1%	0.3%
	3	1.5%	2.4%	1.9%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%
	4	0.4%	0.7%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.5% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 47.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Lille	Lens
Scored (total \| %)	4 \| 100.00%	4 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	4	4