Fri, Apr 10 2026 • 17:00 •
Centro Deportivo Wanda Alcalá de Henares
Expected Goals
1.70 (league 1.32)
0.39 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2% | 22.1% | 8.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
21.0%
2 - 0
17.9%
0 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Marbella | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Madrid II | 0 | 12.4% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.9% | 7.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.1% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atlético Madrid II | Marbella |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 83% | 42% |
| Defense | 58% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atlético Madrid II | Marbella | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 31 |
| Wins | 47% | 50% | 48% | 33% | 13% | 23% |
| Draws | 47% | 13% | 29% | 20% | 25% | 23% |
| Loses | 7% | 38% | 23% | 47% | 63% | 55% |
Form: Atlético Madrid II: DLDWWWWLWWDWWLWWLDWDDLDWLDDWWWL • Marbella: WDDDDLWLDLLLLWLDLLLLWLLWLLDWWLL
League goals
| Metric | Atlético Madrid II | Marbella | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 26 | 47 | 14 | 10 | 24 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 9 | 21 | 30 | 13 | 25 | 38 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atlético Madrid II | Marbella | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 61% | 55% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 29% | 13% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 6% | 6% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 3% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atlético Madrid II | Marbella | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atlético Madrid II | Marbella |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 7 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 7 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atlético Madrid II | Marbella |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-4 | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atlético Madrid II | Marbella |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 81% | 19% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 61.3% | 38.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Atlético Madrid II or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.63 @ Dafabet
Draw3.80 @ Betfair
Away5.90 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.80 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.75 @ Betano
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Atlético Madrid II
vs
Marbella
Expected goals
1.70
Atlético Madrid II xG
League Avg: 1.32
Total
2.09
0.39
Marbella xG
League Avg: 0.92
1x2 probabilities
Home
69.2%
Draw
22.1%
Away
8.0%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
21.0%
Tip
2 - 0
17.9%
Tip
0 - 0
12.4%
More chances
1.5+
62%
Chance
2.5+
44%
Chance
3.5+
31%
Chance
BTTS
61%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Atlético Madrid II = 1.70 (league 1.32), Marbella = 0.39 (league 0.92)
| Marbella | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Madrid II | 0 | 12.4% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.9% | 7.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.1% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.2% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 8.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1