Fri, Apr 10 2026 • 18:45 •
Stadio Olimpico
Expected Goals
2.90 (league 1.24)
0.58 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 76.8% | 10.9% | 4.9% |
best score tips
2 - 0
12.9%
3 - 0
12.5%
4 - 0
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Pisa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AS Roma | 0 | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.9% | 7.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.5% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.0% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AS Roma | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 20% |
| Attack | 62% | 23% |
| Defense | 8% | 8% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AS Roma | Pisa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 67% | 44% | 55% | 13% | 0% | 6% |
| Draws | 13% | 6% | 10% | 25% | 53% | 39% |
| Loses | 20% | 50% | 35% | 63% | 47% | 55% |
Form: AS Roma: WWLWWWLWWLWWLLWLWLWWWDLWDWDLLWL • Pisa: DLLLDLDDDDWDLLLDLDLDDLLDLLLLWLL
League goals
| Metric | AS Roma | Pisa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 19 | 42 | 7 | 16 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 9 | 19 | 28 | 19 | 36 | 55 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AS Roma | Pisa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 58% | 45% | 84% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 19% | 26% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 6% | 3% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AS Roma | Pisa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 5 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
Penalties
| Metric | AS Roma | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | AS Roma | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-3 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AS Roma | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 73% | 27% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 84% | 16% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 66.0% | 34.0% |
Advice: Winner : AS Roma
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.40 @ 1xBet
Draw5.38 @ Pinnacle
Away11.00 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.85 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.20 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.30 @ 10Bet
No1.72 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): AS Roma = 2.90 (league 1.24), Pisa = 0.58 (league 1.13)
| Pisa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AS Roma | 0 | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.9% | 7.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.5% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.0% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.8% · Draw 10.9% · Away win 4.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1
