League One
— England
Tue, Apr 14 2026 • 18:45 •
Toughsheet Community Stadium
Expected Goals
1.60 (league 1.46)
0.82 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.3% | 25.0% | 19.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.3%
1 - 1
11.7%
2 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Stevenage | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bolton | 0 | 9.0% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.3% | 11.7% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.4% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bolton | Stevenage |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Attack | 27% | 20% |
| Defense | 60% | 93% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bolton | Stevenage | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 20 | 22 | 42 | 20 | 21 | 41 |
| Wins | 60% | 27% | 43% | 60% | 33% | 46% |
| Draws | 35% | 41% | 38% | 30% | 19% | 24% |
| Loses | 5% | 32% | 19% | 10% | 48% | 29% |
Form: Bolton: LWDDDDWDWLWLWWWDDWWLWLDDLWDWWWWDDDWWDDLWDL • Stevenage: WWWWLWDWWWLDLDWDLWDDLDLLDDWLLWWLWWLWLWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Bolton | Stevenage | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 36 | 23 | 59 | 23 | 20 | 43 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 17 | 27 | 44 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bolton | Stevenage | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 74% | 73% | 59% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 26% | 24% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 5% | 7% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bolton | Stevenage | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bolton | Stevenage |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bolton | Stevenage |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-5 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bolton | Stevenage |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 14% | 86% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 52.3% | 47.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Bolton or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.89 @ 188Bet
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away4.66 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.13 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.82 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.90 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Bolton
vs
Stevenage
Expected goals
1.60
Bolton xG
League Avg: 1.46
Total
2.41
0.82
Stevenage xG
League Avg: 1.10
1x2 probabilities
Home
55.3%
Draw
25.0%
Away
19.1%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
14.3%
Tip
1 - 1
11.7%
Tip
2 - 0
11.4%
More chances
1.5+
66%
Chance
2.5+
47%
Chance
3.5+
33%
Chance
BTTS
65%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Bolton = 1.60 (league 1.46), Stevenage = 0.82 (league 1.10)
| Stevenage | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bolton | 0 | 9.0% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.3% | 11.7% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.4% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.3% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 19.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1