Bundesliga
— Austria
Fri, Apr 17 2026 • 17:30 •
Merkur-Arena
Expected Goals
1.55 (league 1.45)
1.24 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 44.0% | 25.0% | 30.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
1 - 0
9.5%
2 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Ried | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Grazer AK | 0 | 6.2% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.4% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Grazer AK | Ried |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 47% |
| Attack | 100% | 88% |
| Defense | 38% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Grazer AK | Ried | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 38% | 15% | 27% | 46% | 31% | 38% |
| Draws | 38% | 23% | 31% | 23% | 15% | 19% |
| Loses | 23% | 62% | 42% | 31% | 54% | 42% |
Form: Grazer AK: DLDDLLDDLDLWLWWLLDDLWLWWWL • Ried: DLLWWLLDWWLLWLWWWLDDLLWLWD
League goals
| Metric | Grazer AK | Ried | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 12 | 31 | 17 | 16 | 33 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 17 | 22 | 39 | 16 | 20 | 36 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Grazer AK | Ried | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 88% | 69% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 38% | 46% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 15% | 12% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Grazer AK | Ried | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Grazer AK | Ried |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 8 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 8 |
Streaks
| Metric | Grazer AK | Ried |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-5 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-0 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Grazer AK | Ried |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 73% | 27% |
| Total | 65.8% | 34.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Grazer AK or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.77 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ 10Bet
Away2.75 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.23 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.93 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Grazer AK
vs
Ried
Expected goals
1.55
Grazer AK xG
League Avg: 1.45
Total
2.79
1.24
Ried xG
League Avg: 1.26
1x2 probabilities
Home
44.0%
Draw
25.0%
Away
30.3%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
11.8%
Tip
1 - 0
9.5%
Tip
2 - 1
9.1%
More chances
1.5+
78%
Chance
2.5+
55%
Chance
3.5+
39%
Chance
BTTS
73%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Grazer AK = 1.55 (league 1.45), Ried = 1.24 (league 1.26)
| Ried | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Grazer AK | 0 | 6.2% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.4% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.0% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 30.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1