Fri, Dec 12 2025 • 19:00 • De Herdgang
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.11 (league 1.80) 1.30 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.0% 20.8% 22.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 1
9.1%
2 - 0
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Almere City FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong PSV U21 0 3.3% 4.3% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 7.0% 9.1% 5.9% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.4% 9.6% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 5.2% 6.7% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
4 2.7% 3.6% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.2% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJong PSV U21Almere City FC
Played55
Form47%80%
Attack71%100%
Defense7%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 214 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jong PSV U21 Almere City FC
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins56%40%47%50%33%42%
Draws22%20%21%20%0%11%
Loses22%40%32%30%67%47%

Form: Jong PSV U21: WWWWWLWLDDDLLWWDLWL • Almere City FC: WLLLWLWLLDDLLWWLWWW

League goals

Metric Jong PSV U21 Almere City FC
HATHAT
GF total172037251338
GF avg1.92.01.92.51.42.0
GA total122335131831
GA avg1.32.31.81.32.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJong PSV U21Almere City FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%84%84%74%
1.568%53%58%53%
2.537%32%32%21%
3.55%11%21%11%
4.50%5%5%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJong PSV U21Almere City FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets213415
Failed to score213123

Penalties

MetricJong PSV U21Almere City FC
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricJong PSV U21Almere City FC
Wins52
Draws32
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-45-01-4
Biggest losses0-34-02-45-2
Goals For3454
Goals Against3545

Model comparison

MetricJong PSV U21Almere City FC
Form37%63%
Att42%58%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h80%20%
Goals67%33%
Total54.2%45.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Jong PSV U21 or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.30 @ Betfair
Draw4.51 @ Pinnacle
Away2.05 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.31 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.60 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.35 @ Pinnacle
No3.40 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jong PSV U21 = 2.11 (league 1.80), Almere City FC = 1.30 (league 1.40)

Almere City FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong PSV U21 0 3.3% 4.3% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 7.0% 9.1% 5.9% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.4% 9.6% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 5.2% 6.7% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
4 2.7% 3.6% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.2% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.0% · Draw 20.8% · Away win 22.8%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1