Fri, Dec 12 2025 • 19:00 •
De Herdgang
Expected Goals
2.18 (league 1.75)
1.26 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.9% | 20.3% | 21.3% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 1
8.8%
2 - 0
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Almere City FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jong PSV U21 | 0 | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.0% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Jong PSV U21 | Almere City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 80% |
| Attack | 71% | 100% |
| Defense | 7% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Jong PSV U21 | Almere City FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 56% | 40% | 47% | 50% | 33% | 42% |
| Draws | 22% | 20% | 21% | 20% | 0% | 11% |
| Loses | 22% | 40% | 32% | 30% | 67% | 47% |
Form: Jong PSV U21: WWWWWLWLDDDLLWWDLWL • Almere City FC: WLLLWLWLLDDLLWWLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Jong PSV U21 | Almere City FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 20 | 37 | 25 | 13 | 38 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 12 | 23 | 35 | 13 | 18 | 31 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Jong PSV U21 | Almere City FC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 84% | 84% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 68% | 53% | 58% | 53% |
| 2.5 | 37% | 32% | 32% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 11% | 21% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 5% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Jong PSV U21 | Almere City FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Jong PSV U21 | Almere City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Jong PSV U21 | Almere City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 2-4 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-0 | 2-4 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Jong PSV U21 | Almere City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 37% | 63% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 54.2% | 45.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Jong PSV U21 or draw and +1.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.30 @ Betfair
Draw4.51 @ Pinnacle
Away2.05 @ 188Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.31 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.60 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.35 @ Pinnacle
No3.40 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Jong PSV U21
vs
Almere City FC
Expected goals
2.18
Jong PSV U21 xG
League Avg: 1.75
Total
3.44
1.26
Almere City FC xG
League Avg: 1.44
1x2 probabilities
Home
55.9%
Draw
20.3%
Away
21.3%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 1
9.6%
Tip
1 - 1
8.8%
Tip
2 - 0
7.6%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
70%
Chance
3.5+
50%
Chance
BTTS
79%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Jong PSV U21 = 2.18 (league 1.75), Almere City FC = 1.26 (league 1.44)
| Almere City FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jong PSV U21 | 0 | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.0% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.9% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 21.3%
vtt 7 , vtd1