Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 15:15 •
Estadio Carlos Belmonte
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.49)
0.72 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 44.5% | 31.7% | 23.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.8%
0 - 0
16.1%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Malaga | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Albacete | 0 | 16.1% | 11.6% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.8% | 12.8% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.9% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Albacete | Malaga |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 40% |
| Attack | 50% | 70% |
| Defense | 30% | 30% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Albacete | Malaga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 38% | 33% | 35% | 44% | 13% | 29% |
| Draws | 13% | 33% | 24% | 44% | 13% | 29% |
| Loses | 50% | 33% | 41% | 11% | 75% | 41% |
Form: Albacete: DLLLDWWDDWLWLWLLW • Malaga: DWWDLLLLWLWLDLWDD
League goals
| Metric | Albacete | Malaga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 14 | 23 | 17 | 4 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 13 | 14 | 27 | 10 | 12 | 22 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Albacete | Malaga | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 59% | 71% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 53% | 29% | 41% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 35% | 18% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 12% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Albacete | Malaga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Albacete | Malaga |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Albacete | Malaga |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 3-4 | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-2 | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Albacete | Malaga |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 53.3% | 46.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Albacete or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.05 @ Superbet
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away4.03 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.06 @ SBO
Under 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.87 @ 188Bet
No2.06 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Albacete = 1.11 (league 1.49), Malaga = 0.72 (league 1.11)
| Malaga | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Albacete | 0 | 16.1% | 11.6% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.8% | 12.8% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.9% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.5% · Draw 31.7% · Away win 23.7%
vtt 7 , vtd1
