Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 18:00 •
Estadio Merkatondoa
Expected Goals
4.61 (league 1.51)
1.23 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% |
best score tips
4 - 1
6.7%
5 - 1
6.2%
3 - 1
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Txantrea | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Izarra | 0 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 5.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Izarra | Txantrea |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 67% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 71% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Izarra | Txantrea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 71% | 29% | 50% | 57% | 43% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 43% | 21% | 29% | 14% | 21% |
| Loses | 29% | 29% | 29% | 14% | 43% | 29% |
Form: Izarra: WLWDLWLDWDWWWL • Txantrea: WWLLWDWLDWDLWW
League goals
| Metric | Izarra | Txantrea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 11 | 28 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 5 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 20 | 28 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 2.9 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Izarra | Txantrea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 50% | 86% | 93% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 36% | 57% | 64% |
| 2.5 | 43% | 0% | 29% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 7% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Izarra | Txantrea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Izarra | Txantrea |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Izarra | Txantrea |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 3-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Izarra | Txantrea |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 86% | 14% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 65.5% | 34.5% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Izarra and +1.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.75 @ Betano
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away4.64 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.76 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.78 @ Unibet
No2.05 @ William Hill
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Izarra = 4.61 (league 1.51), Txantrea = 1.23 (league 1.08)
| Txantrea | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Izarra | 0 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 5.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.5% · Draw 6.4% · Away win 4.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1
