Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 11:00 •
Estadio Marcolino de Castro
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.32)
0.79 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 25.5% | 38.1% | 36.3% |
best score tips
0 - 0
24.8%
0 - 1
19.5%
1 - 0
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
| União de Leiria | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Feirense | 0 | 24.8% | 19.5% | 7.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.1% | 11.9% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Feirense | União de Leiria |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 33% |
| Attack | 67% | 100% |
| Defense | 33% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-6
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Feirense | União de Leiria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| Wins | 29% | 25% | 27% | 43% | 38% | 40% |
| Draws | 29% | 38% | 33% | 29% | 38% | 33% |
| Loses | 43% | 38% | 40% | 29% | 25% | 27% |
Form: Feirense: DWLWDLLWLLDDDWL • União de Leiria: WLDWWDDLWWDDLLW
League goals
| Metric | Feirense | União de Leiria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 9 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 19 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 6 | 11 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Feirense | União de Leiria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 53% | 73% | 73% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 40% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 7% | 13% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Feirense | União de Leiria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Feirense | União de Leiria |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Feirense | União de Leiria |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 2-3 | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-3 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Feirense | União de Leiria |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 73% | 27% |
| Total | 58.2% | 41.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Feirense or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.92 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.58 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.30 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.65 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.02 @ 188Bet
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Feirense
vs
União de Leiria
Expected goals
0.61
Feirense xG
League Avg: 1.32
Total
1.39
0.79
União de Leiria xG
League Avg: 1.14
1x2 probabilities
Home
25.5%
Draw
38.1%
Away
36.3%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
24.8%
Tip
0 - 1
19.5%
Tip
1 - 0
15.1%
More chances
1.5+
59%
Chance
2.5+
42%
Chance
3.5+
30%
Chance
BTTS
59%
Chance
🟨 Cards
3 - 6
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Feirense = 0.61 (league 1.32), União de Leiria = 0.79 (league 1.14)
| União de Leiria | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Feirense | 0 | 24.8% | 19.5% | 7.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.1% | 11.9% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.5% · Draw 38.1% · Away win 36.3%
vtt 7 , vtd1