Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 15:00 •
Ecologic Stadium at Bloomfields
Expected Goals
3.01 (league 1.58)
1.27 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.0% | 14.5% | 12.8% |
best score tips
3 - 1
8.0%
2 - 1
8.0%
3 - 0
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
| AFC Sudbury | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Needham Market | 0 | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 4.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Needham Market | AFC Sudbury |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Attack | 18% | 71% |
| Defense | 65% | 24% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Needham Market | AFC Sudbury | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 58% | 33% | 46% | 27% | 18% | 23% |
| Draws | 8% | 42% | 25% | 36% | 18% | 27% |
| Loses | 33% | 25% | 29% | 36% | 64% | 50% |
Form: Needham Market: LDWWLDDWLWWWLDWDWLWWLDLW • AFC Sudbury: WLLLLWLDLLLLDLDWDDWDWL
League goals
| Metric | Needham Market | AFC Sudbury | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 13 | 36 | 16 | 13 | 29 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 17 | 16 | 33 | 27 | 28 | 55 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Needham Market | AFC Sudbury | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 67% | 68% | 95% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 42% | 41% | 64% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 21% | 14% | 41% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 8% | 5% | 23% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 5% | 18% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Needham Market | AFC Sudbury | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Needham Market | AFC Sudbury |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Needham Market | AFC Sudbury |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-0 | 0-6 | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Needham Market | AFC Sudbury |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 20% | 80% |
| Def | 68% | 32% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 56.0% | 44.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Needham Market or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.29 @ Betano
Draw5.37 @ Pinnacle
Away10.50 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.86 @ Marathonbet
No1.95 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.53 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Needham Market = 3.01 (league 1.58), AFC Sudbury = 1.27 (league 1.33)
| AFC Sudbury | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Needham Market | 0 | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 4.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.0% · Draw 14.5% · Away win 12.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1
