Stars League
— Qatar
Wed, Jan 7 2026 • 14:30 •
Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.62)
3.44 (league 1.63)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.4% | 8.7% | 73.3% |
best score tips
0 - 3
10.4%
0 - 2
9.0%
0 - 4
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Al Shamal | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Ahli Doha | 0 | 1.5% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 6.1% |
| 1 | 1.1% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Al Ahli Doha | Al Shamal |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 47% |
| Attack | 32% | 58% |
| Defense | 47% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Al Ahli Doha | Al Shamal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| Wins | 20% | 50% | 36% | 57% | 50% | 55% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 29% | 25% | 27% |
| Loses | 80% | 50% | 64% | 14% | 25% | 18% |
Form: Al Ahli Doha: LLLWLWLWLWL • Al Shamal: WWWWDDLWDWL
League goals
| Metric | Al Ahli Doha | Al Shamal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 7 | 13 | 15 | 8 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 14 | 9 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| GA avg | 2.8 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Al Ahli Doha | Al Shamal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 45% | 100% | 73% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 73% | 64% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 36% | 36% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 0% | 27% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 9% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Al Ahli Doha | Al Shamal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Al Ahli Doha | Al Shamal |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Al Ahli Doha | Al Shamal |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-3 | 2-3 | 4-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 2-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Al Ahli Doha | Al Shamal |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46% | 54% |
| Att | 35% | 65% |
| Def | 41% | 59% |
| Poisson Distribution | 17% | 83% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 39.8% | 60.2% |
Advice: Winner : Al Shamal
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.30 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.77 @ Pinnacle
Away2.15 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.36 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.54 @ Pinnacle
No2.50 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Al Ahli Doha
vs
Al Shamal
Expected goals
0.74
Al Ahli Doha xG
League Avg: 1.62
Total
4.19
3.44
Al Shamal xG
League Avg: 1.63
1x2 probabilities
Home
4.4%
Draw
8.7%
Away
73.3%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 3
10.4%
Tip
0 - 2
9.0%
Tip
0 - 4
8.9%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
68%
Chance
3.5+
49%
Chance
BTTS
71%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Al Ahli Doha = 0.74 (league 1.62), Al Shamal = 3.44 (league 1.63)
| Al Shamal | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Ahli Doha | 0 | 1.5% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 6.1% |
| 1 | 1.1% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.4% · Draw 8.7% · Away win 73.3%
vtt 5 , vtd1