Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 11:00 •
Estadio Juan Antonio Alvarez Rabanal
Expected Goals
2.15 (league 1.41)
0.50 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 73.6% | 17.0% | 7.2% |
best score tips
2 - 0
16.4%
1 - 0
15.2%
3 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Llanes | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Covadonga | 0 | 7.1% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.2% | 7.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.4% | 8.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.7% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Covadonga | Llanes |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 40% |
| Attack | 64% | 36% |
| Defense | 79% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Covadonga | Llanes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 86% | 63% | 73% | 38% | 29% | 33% |
| Draws | 14% | 25% | 20% | 50% | 29% | 40% |
| Loses | 0% | 13% | 7% | 13% | 43% | 27% |
Form: Covadonga: DWDWWWWWLWWWWWD • Llanes: LDDWLLWWWDDDWLD
League goals
| Metric | Covadonga | Llanes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 18 | 31 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 3 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 18 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Covadonga | Llanes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 60% | 87% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 53% | 13% | 27% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 0% | 7% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Covadonga | Llanes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Covadonga | Llanes |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Covadonga | Llanes |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-4 | 2-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Covadonga | Llanes |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 68% | 32% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 78% | 22% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 62% | 38% |
| Total | 66.8% | 33.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Covadonga or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.39 @ Betano
Draw4.41 @ Pinnacle
Away8.60 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.87 @ SBO
Under 2.52.00 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.30 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Covadonga
vs
Llanes
Expected goals
2.15
Covadonga xG
League Avg: 1.41
Total
2.65
0.50
Llanes xG
League Avg: 1.13
1x2 probabilities
Home
73.6%
Draw
17.0%
Away
7.2%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 0
16.4%
Tip
1 - 0
15.2%
Tip
3 - 0
11.7%
More chances
1.5+
76%
Chance
2.5+
53%
Chance
3.5+
38%
Chance
BTTS
73%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Covadonga = 2.15 (league 1.41), Llanes = 0.50 (league 1.13)
| Llanes | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Covadonga | 0 | 7.1% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.2% | 7.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.4% | 8.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.7% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.6% · Draw 17.0% · Away win 7.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1