Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 10:30 •
Aktepe Stadium
Expected Goals
2.15 (league 1.62)
0.63 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2% | 17.9% | 9.6% |
best score tips
2 - 0
14.3%
1 - 0
13.3%
3 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Hatayspor | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Keçiörengücü | 0 | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.3% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.3% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.2% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Keçiörengücü | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 13% |
| Attack | 83% | 33% |
| Defense | 42% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Keçiörengücü | Hatayspor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| Wins | 33% | 30% | 32% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 44% | 40% | 42% | 33% | 30% | 32% |
| Loses | 22% | 30% | 26% | 67% | 70% | 68% |
Form: Keçiörengücü: WDLLDWDDLDLWWDLWDDW • Hatayspor: LLDDLDLLLLDLLLDLLDL
League goals
| Metric | Keçiörengücü | Hatayspor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 20 | 31 | 6 | 10 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 7 | 16 | 23 | 21 | 29 | 50 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 2.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Keçiörengücü | Hatayspor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 79% | 63% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 37% | 32% | 16% | 74% |
| 2.5 | 26% | 5% | 5% | 58% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 5% | 0% | 26% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Keçiörengücü | Hatayspor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Keçiörengücü | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Keçiörengücü | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 2-7 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-1 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 7 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Keçiörengücü | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 80% | 20% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 78% | 22% |
| H2h | 33% | 67% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 63.2% | 36.8% |
Advice: Winner : Keçiörengücü
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.06 @ William Hill
Draw13.00 @ Betfair
Away41.00 @ Betfair
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.54.40 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.75 @ Betfair
No1.54 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Keçiörengücü = 2.15 (league 1.62), Hatayspor = 0.63 (league 1.26)
| Hatayspor | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Keçiörengücü | 0 | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.3% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.3% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.2% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.2% · Draw 17.9% · Away win 9.6%
vtt 5 , vtd1
