Derby vs Leeds - footywow

FA Cup — England

Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 12:00 • Pride Park Stadium

Match Finished

Derby

1 - 3

Leeds

Expected Goals

0.05 (league 1.78) 0.05 (league 1.45)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
4.6%	90.7%	4.6%

best score tips

0 - 0

90.5%

0 - 1

4.5%

1 - 0

4.5%

Score & goals probability table

		Leeds
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Derby	0	90.5%	4.5%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	4.5%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Derby	Leeds
Played	0	0
Form	0%	0%
Attack	0%	0%
Defense	0%	0%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	0 \| 0	0 \| 0
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	0 \| 0	0 \| 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.00

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.00

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

FT probability

2.5+

FT probability

3.5+

FT probability

BTTS

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Derby			Leeds
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	0	0	0	0	0	0
Wins	—	—	—	—	—	—
Draws	—	—	—	—	—	—
Loses	—	—	—	—	—	—

League goals

Metric	Derby			Leeds
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	0	0	0	0	0	0
GF avg	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
GA total	0	0	0	0	0	0
GA avg	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Derby		Leeds
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	—	—	—	—
1.5	—	—	—	—
2.5	—	—	—	—
3.5	—	—	—	—
4.5	—	—	—	—

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Derby			Leeds
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	0	0	0	0	0	0
Failed to score	0	0	0	0	0	0

Penalties

Metric	Derby	Leeds
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Derby	Leeds
Wins	0	0
Draws	0	0
Losses	0	0

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	—	—	—	—
Biggest losses	—	—	—	—
Goals For	0	0	0	0
Goals Against	0	0	0	0

Model comparison

Metric	Derby	Leeds
Form	0%	0%
Att	0%	0%
Def	0%	0%
Poisson Distribution	0%	0%
H2h	29%	71%
Goals	40%	60%
Total	34.5%	65.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Leeds

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.10 @ Unibet

Draw3.95 @ Betano

Away1.81 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ Unibet

Under 2.51.87 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet

No1.94 @ Pinnacle

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Derby vs Leeds

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Prediction and Tips for:

Derby

Leeds

FA Cup • England • Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 12:00 • Pride Park Stadium

Expected goals

0.05

Derby xG League Avg: 1.78

Total

0.10

0.05

Leeds xG League Avg: 1.45

1x2 probabilities

Home

4.6%

Draw

90.7%

Away

4.6%

Best score tips

Tip

0 - 0

90.5%

Tip

0 - 1

4.5%

Tip

1 - 0

4.5%

More chances

1.5+

Chance

2.5+

Chance

3.5+

Chance

BTTS

Chance

🟨 Cards

—

Exp.

#Derby #Leeds #FaCup #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Derby = 0.05 (league 1.78), Leeds = 0.05 (league 1.45)

		Leeds
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Derby	0	90.5%	4.5%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	4.5%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.6% · Draw 90.7% · Away win 4.6%

vtt 3 , vtd1

Metric	Derby	Leeds
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0