Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:00 •
Campo Sportivo Is Arranas
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.51)
0.64 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.6% | 35.2% | 24.1% |
best score tips
0 - 0
20.9%
1 - 0
19.4%
0 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Atletico Lodigiani | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sarrabus Ogliastra | 0 | 20.9% | 13.4% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.4% | 12.4% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.0% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sarrabus Ogliastra | Atletico Lodigiani |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Attack | 25% | 100% |
| Defense | 25% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sarrabus Ogliastra | Atletico Lodigiani | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| Wins | 44% | 33% | 39% | 50% | 0% | 28% |
| Draws | 33% | 22% | 28% | 20% | 63% | 39% |
| Loses | 22% | 44% | 33% | 30% | 38% | 33% |
Form: Sarrabus Ogliastra: DWDDLWWDWLDLWLWLWL • Atletico Lodigiani: DLLLDDLDWLWLWDWDDW
League goals
| Metric | Sarrabus Ogliastra | Atletico Lodigiani | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 14 | 27 | 18 | 5 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 12 | 19 | 31 | 15 | 8 | 23 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sarrabus Ogliastra | Atletico Lodigiani | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 78% | 83% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 61% | 33% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 17% | 11% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 17% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sarrabus Ogliastra | Atletico Lodigiani | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sarrabus Ogliastra | Atletico Lodigiani |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sarrabus Ogliastra | Atletico Lodigiani |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 2-3 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-0 | 2-3 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sarrabus Ogliastra | Atletico Lodigiani |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 20% | 80% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 38.0% | 62.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Atletico Lodigiani
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.25 @ Betano
Draw3.40 @ 10Bet
Away2.85 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.82 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.70 @ Marathonbet
No1.99 @ 1xBet
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sarrabus Ogliastra = 0.93 (league 1.51), Atletico Lodigiani = 0.64 (league 1.22)
| Atletico Lodigiani | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sarrabus Ogliastra | 0 | 20.9% | 13.4% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.4% | 12.4% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.0% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.6% · Draw 35.2% · Away win 24.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1
