Mon, Jan 19 2026 • 20:00 •
Estadio Manuel MartÃnez Valero
Expected Goals
1.80 (league 1.51)
0.77 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 60.9% | 22.6% | 15.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.8%
2 - 0
12.4%
1 - 1
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Sevilla | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Elche | 0 | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.8% | 10.6% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.4% | 9.5% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.4% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Elche | Sevilla |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 27% |
| Attack | 100% | 50% |
| Defense | 30% | 30% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Elche | Sevilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 9 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 26% | 30% | 33% | 32% |
| Draws | 40% | 44% | 42% | 10% | 11% | 11% |
| Loses | 10% | 56% | 32% | 60% | 56% | 58% |
Form: Elche: DDWDWDWLDLLDDLWLWLD • Sevilla: LLWDWLWWLLLWLLDWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Elche | Sevilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 8 | 25 | 14 | 10 | 24 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 8 | 16 | 24 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Elche | Sevilla | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 74% | 74% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 32% | 32% | 58% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 21% | 11% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Elche | Sevilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Elche | Sevilla |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Elche | Sevilla |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | — | 4-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Elche | Sevilla |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 31% | 69% |
| Total | 51.0% | 49.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Elche or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.51 @ 1xBet
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away3.30 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.43 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.66 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.02 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Elche
vs
Sevilla
Expected goals
1.80
Elche xG
League Avg: 1.51
Total
2.57
0.77
Sevilla xG
League Avg: 1.14
1x2 probabilities
Home
60.9%
Draw
22.6%
Away
15.5%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
13.8%
Tip
2 - 0
12.4%
Tip
1 - 1
10.6%
More chances
1.5+
76%
Chance
2.5+
54%
Chance
3.5+
38%
Chance
BTTS
71%
Chance
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected
Expected goals (λ): Elche = 1.80 (league 1.51), Sevilla = 0.77 (league 1.14)
| Sevilla | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Elche | 0 | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.8% | 10.6% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.4% | 9.5% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.4% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.9% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 15.5%
vtt 13 , vtd1