Wed, Jan 21 2026 • 20:00 •
St. James' Park
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.83)
1.02 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 36.8% | 29.8% | 33.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.5%
1 - 0
13.2%
0 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| PSV Eindhoven | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Newcastle | 0 | 12.0% | 12.3% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.2% | 13.5% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.2% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Newcastle | PSV Eindhoven |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 53% |
| Attack | 80% | 93% |
| Defense | 73% | 47% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
82%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Newcastle | PSV Eindhoven | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 17% | 0% | 67% | 33% |
| Loses | 33% | 33% | 33% | 67% | 0% | 33% |
Form: Newcastle: LWWWLD • PSV Eindhoven: LDWDWL
League goals
| Metric | Newcastle | PSV Eindhoven | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Newcastle | PSV Eindhoven | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 0% | 33% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Newcastle | PSV Eindhoven | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Newcastle | PSV Eindhoven |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Newcastle | PSV Eindhoven |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-4 | 6-2 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-1 | 1-3 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Newcastle | PSV Eindhoven |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 55.0% | 45.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Newcastle or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.46 @ 188Bet
Draw5.94 @ 1xBet
Away8.00 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.30 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.60 @ Pinnacle
No2.50 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Newcastle
vs
PSV Eindhoven
Expected goals
1.09
Newcastle xG
League Avg: 1.83
Total
2.12
1.02
PSV Eindhoven xG
League Avg: 1.37
1x2 probabilities
Home
36.8%
Draw
29.8%
Away
33.2%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
13.5%
Tip
1 - 0
13.2%
Tip
0 - 1
12.3%
More chances
1.5+
94%
Chance
2.5+
66%
Chance
3.5+
47%
Chance
BTTS
82%
Chance
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected
Expected goals (λ): Newcastle = 1.09 (league 1.83), PSV Eindhoven = 1.02 (league 1.37)
| PSV Eindhoven | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Newcastle | 0 | 12.0% | 12.3% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.2% | 13.5% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.2% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.8% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 33.2%
vtt 4 , vtd1